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submitted 6 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is Israeli interceptors trying and failing to intercept missiles over their cities.


Israel just carried out a widespread bombing of Iran, which has killed a number of senior officials inside Iran (though it seems the leadership is more-or-less intact) as well as a number of civilians. Important facilities have been targeted, but the amount of damage is unknown so far (note that many important Iranian facilities are deep underground, making them both hard to damage but also hard to determine if they are damaged from just satellite imagery, so reports of damage will be he-said-she-said).

It appears the attack took Iran by surprise, given that a residential block was targeted that contained some senior officials - if one saw an attack coming, one would imagine they'd be in bunkers. Nonetheless, like the rest of the Resistance Axis, I suspect that Iran has adapted their military structures to be resistant to decapitation strikes by ensuring that replacement figures are ready to take the place of killed officials.

Iran has delivered a massive missile barrage in response to Israeli aggression, even though Israel is continuing to bomb Iran. Iran is now aware of the location of many important Israeli sites, including secret nuclear sites, due to their recent intelligence haul, giving them a distinct edge.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 29 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

On another note, this whole thing is really making it feel like Iran could have ended all this a long time ago by responding this way the first time around. I know hindsight is 20/20 but if all this was going to be made inevitable, it would have been better to go whole hog on the resistances terms rather than Israel's. Like if Hezbollah was still fighting and taking out the entities defensive infrastructure, Iran would probably have even more unfettered ability to strike targets deep in Israel, no?

Obviously events are very far from over so it's impossible to say for sure how things will be interpreted let alone what the results will be, but I wonder if this will be seen as one of those classic historical tragedies, where in order for Iran to get to the point where its officials were united behind a policy of directly attacking Israel, the alternative strategy had to fail (well, more-or-less fail, Hamas and Ansarallah are still going and Hezbollah is currently dealing with domestic issues but maybe in the near-to-medium term they could come back and blah blah blah).

Like, if Iran had done what it is currently doing in like early 2024 instead of mid-way through 2025, then maybe there is too much internal pressure both inside the Iranian populace and between those in the Iranian state/military who might have disagreed on the correct strategy and the whole thing comes off the rails. Or maybe it does actually all work and Nasrallah and Sinwar and dozens of other officials and hundreds of thousands of people in Gaza are still alive. It's just one of those great historical counterfactuals that drive you mad; they're not truly answerable but you can fantasize about it a lot, like, idk, what if the German socialists didn't side with their government during WW1 for example.

[-] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 7 points 10 hours ago

Iran's political class was convinced that by waging war with Israel via proxies, it was therefore not safe from fighting the war itself.

Almost as if they thought that if Hezbollah, Hamas, AnsarAllah, Assad, PMF, etc. were defeated, they would still be safe because the war would not have started for them yet.

The reality is, Iran has been in a direct war with Israel since October 7th 2023. October 8th if you consider Hamas more autonomous to Iran than the other factions. The Gazan front, the Lebanese front, the Yemeni front, the Syrian front were all effectively extensions of the Iranian military.

On these fronts, there are hundreds of thousands of soldiers trained by Iran, armed by Iran, informed by Iran, paid (even partly) by Iran, and sometimes ordered by Iran. They have essentially been neutralised because of Iran did not consider them an extension of their own war.

Imagine if the Soviets, British, Americans, and French all refused to support eachother's fronts even to their own detriment. The soviets could have stopped their march at the borders of lre-war Germany and wiped their hands of the war. The British could've negotiated peace with Hitler; why die for Danzig? The Americans could have not bothered in Europe and focussed on their war against Japan (which they were largely handling alone until the last few days).

If their war was with Israel, they should have supported these allies with joint operations and secured their supply lines to keep them in the fight. They did not, and now Iran fights alone, bar some token support from Yemen and Gaza.

Idk im spitballing but I dont think Iran took the surrender of Hezb as seriously as it should have, at the very least.

this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2025
245 points (100.0% liked)

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