Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.
Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.
Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).
Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.
I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Germany and the EU have no interceptors or other relevant materials to offer isntreal in any needed amounts. Germany doesn't have enough munitions to replace what their ships carry once.
$
You need factories to produce weapons, money isn't sufficient.
Money can't make the factories produce faster and Israel is running out of interceptors. I'm still unsure what it is Germany could do to replace the US in supporting Israel.
If money was all it took to produce weapons, or increase the production of weapons, Ukraine's arsenal would dwarf Russia's.
They don't need to dwarf anything. They just need to continue existing as their reason d'etre. A lot of them are ideologically fascist, not just hired mercenaries. What is so hard to understand about this?
Does Germany have a THAAD to give Israel? Does Germany have the naval assets to park a bunch of missile launchers in the water between Iran and Israel for mid-flight interceptions? Does Germany produce enough interceptors to replace the US supply being provided? The answer to all of these questions is no. I understand your idea - Germany gives money to Israel. Money doesn't just turn into munitions like in a game. Money can't replace the essential parts of Israel's missile defenses currently being provided by the USA.
If the US pulls the THAAD out, stops the naval interceptions, then those factories in Israel are living on borrowed time. There is no way for Germany to replace the US in support of Israel that does not result in Israel being devastated by missiles.
Still not answering my question about why the deathcult of Israel would be moved by this. They're not reasonable actors. They're probably fine becoming an ISIS-like entity in the region carrying out asymmetric/terrorist warfare funded by Europe like the nazis in Ukraine. It's not like Israelis have actually been enjoying nice lifestyles, it's been mostly poor and brutish for most of its life.
That has nothing to do with whether or not Germany can materially support Israel. Israel isn't going to stop being fascist because the US retracts support, but they would likely be forced to stop attacking Iran because they would run out of materials, tankers to facilitate the attacks, and their infrastructure would be picked apart piece by piece. The only answer you've given as to how Germany can do this is "$" which simply is not sufficient.
What do you think Germany would do if the US pulled all support for Israel in an isolationist way?
I don't care what Germany would do because it would not materially affect the outcome of the conflict. You can't hit Iran with missiles if you don't have missiles, and you can't intercept Iran's missiles if you don't have interceptors. Those are material realities, vibes about what fascists would think aren't meaningful.
This is very funny and completely irrelevant. Death to israel by the way, I think you've confused this website with some other one.
Find me a post that says israel needs to be actually de-zionized and not just advocating for american withdrawal which is what you're doing by refusing to actually grapple with what will happen after the us withdraws.
What are you talking about?? The baseline of this site is Let's Go Bomb Tel Aviv. I don't think I've ever seen a single person say that Israel should exist in any form whatsoever.
And the withdrawal of US support, if that can even happen without a total US imperial collapse, would be the most significant step towards that happening. You seem to have an idealistic assumption that somehow the Israelis could just will themselves into being able to fight through their fanaticism, but you can't will bombs, missiles and interceptors into existence. Only the US can supply Israel with those at the volume they need, and withdrawal of the US would basically end Israeli material capacity to defend themselves from Iran, and shortly after that the ability to fight at all.
Idealism is when asking people to think about the future
You have yet to provide any specific material way Germany can replace the US in support for Israel and you keep trying to change the subject. It's almost like you haven't put any real thought into the idea and you're just arguing for the sake of it.
You still haven't said the US should bomb Israel or what will happen with Israel after the US withdraws support. For instance, what happens to the 90 nukes Israel has?
If I may interrupt, I'm interested to know about what thought there is about an eventual end of this situation. And I would guess others are too, but it's hard to think about. And there's not a lot of news to hang the thoughts on.
I assume a lot of israelis would end up going back to their countries of origin, or as Boar-type refugees to US/UK/Germany. And scattered here there everywhere else. Some might stay in the area, but without the support of most powerful nation states, would be disciplined into adhering to wider community values.
Is there some sort of skeleton Truth & Reconciliation that could be applied? Has that ever worked? As individuals, is there any capacity to hold people to account for their various crimes? Between official records, eye witness and social media, there must be mountains of evidence to go through. Do you throw the whole population in a giant prison while you go through each one of them? And then what?
How to de-radicalize these people and their many powerful supporters? Some kind of narrative is needed to allow all these psychos to back down.
Assuming israel collapses one way or the other, even if it were to be completely dismantled to the benefit of the Palestinians, it can barely do any good to start paying back the debt. I think most of the value has been extracted to elsewhere. Just the value of destroyed olive groves is probably more than Israel actually has of its own. The rest of that blob owes Palestinians tremendously; how could any kind of repayment be enforced?
I've never made a post about it because it's a very big and difficult thing to think of. And this is how it would go if I did....
Thanks for the thoughtful post. Israel has about 9-10 million people. Internet is saying 85% speak English on some level, though I doubt their proficiency is great. I don't know if any countries actually want or care about Israeli citizens, they mostly just care about the state of Israel as a imperialist force in the middle east. Kinda' like how Ukranians are getting deported back to Ukraine now, most of the richer immigrants there will leave but that's like maybe 20% of the population assuming they can afford to leave especially if their wealth is being expropriated for Palestine.
Most of the countries near Israel are hollowed-out saudi regimes or borderline failed states so other than Iran and maybe Iraq I don't know who's going to step in to help enforce dezionization other than maaaaybe the UN via some joint-force of BRICS countries.
Also, as bad as the apartheid regime of south africa was, I don't know if 50% of the whites in South Africa wanted a final solution for the black populations there as Israelis want to do to Palestinians. Looking it up in 1992 the whites-only South Africa referendum for reform/anti-apartheid won with 68%. So I think Israel would basically need to be occupied, dismantled, and re-educated but there's no USSR right now that would do that. And if that's not done it seems like zionazi blowback is guaranteed to happen.
EU isn't a money printer, that's coming out of people's pensions. the money doesn't exist for EU to lone support Ukraine or Israel, it's a fiction