How accurate are your predictions of the future? (sopuli.xyz)

submitted 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) by glowing_hans@sopuli.xyz to c/asklemmy@lemmy.ml

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🔮 (on average) Predictions may relate to your personal life or grand tectonic shifts in our constantly changing world. Assess your own prediction accuracy.

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[-] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 8 points 3 days ago

Kinda? Predictions aren't a binary, often times I get more aspects correct but details wrong. The future isn't knowable, but reasonable and accurate predictions can be made.

[-] glowing_hans@sopuli.xyz 2 points 3 days ago

Good point with predictions not being binary. It is hard to assess prediction accuracy, so I guess this entire question I asked here is useless?

[-] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 3 points 3 days ago

That's a matter of perspective, if it opens up the conversation to tangential subjects, ie me saying Marxism-Leninism has helped, then it's still a useful conversation starter. Depends on what you want to get out of this post.

[-] glowing_hans@sopuli.xyz 1 points 3 days ago

I mean yeah in general, using a theoretical construct to enhance prediction accuracy is a good strategy I guess.

I believe with better predictions we can have better lives in a uncertain world.

What are your thoughts on prediction markets? Are they gambling?

[-] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 2 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Yes, I guess so. As for Marxism-Leninism, it's a tool for working class liberation and a frame of analysis, not really a construct.

this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2025

19 points (100.0% liked)

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