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[-] Tabitha@hexbear.net 10 points 2 weeks ago

I didn't understand how this would be a leveraged short against the US government, but I'd like to know more!

[-] chgxvjh@hexbear.net 11 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

The bet is that there will be hyperinflation soon (and that you won't have to default on the loan), devaluing the money you'd owe the bank.

I have my doubt though that a 50 year loan would have fixed interest rates rather than being index adjusted or something like that.

[-] drinkinglakewater@hexbear.net 7 points 2 weeks ago

Hyper inflation for the global reserve currency sure sounds like a good idea

[-] spectre@hexbear.net 10 points 2 weeks ago

Unless I'm missing something, the only way you make money is if the inflation rate exceeds the interest rate on your mortgage. A 50-year mortgage is not going to have a good interest rate. Also, it is unlikely that your wage is going to match inflation (although it will increase so e due to inflation and maybe if you build a career you'll have a higher paid job ofc, but that isn't directly relevant to the post). The only way this makes sense is if there's a few years of massive massive inflation that beats your 50yr mortgage's rate, and I you have enough stonks to generate a useful return so you can pay down your loan balance for the inflation kicks in. I suppose you could also refinance at that point as well to a shorter term.

It's not "120 IQ" it's the usual financial gaming/hedging/shorting and carries a fair amount of risk. I don't have much of any faith in the US/western real economy, but I also know "the house always wins".


The more conservative move (so you don't have to fret about finances) is:

  • Have a lot of money (of course)
  • put the money in your retirement stonks (mutual fund etc) targeting a ~5% return and just let it ride
  • take a mortgage on a reasonably priced home at the lowest interest rate you can afford
  • short terms (15 years) = lower rates (key being that it's below the 5%) = free money cause your stonks go up faster than your mortgage interest
  • if inflation kicks in, you can pay off the debt earlier cause your stonks will go up faster

If you pay it off early?

  • use excess funds to fund socialist activities or whatever
  • move to a nicer home that you can reasonably afford with equity in your old home, higher wages than when you were younger, and take another low interest short term mortgage
[-] chgxvjh@hexbear.net 9 points 2 weeks ago

the obvious way to make money with this is

Take loan

Buy house

Rent house to someone

Pay loan with rent

[-] woodenghost@hexbear.net 8 points 2 weeks ago

That's it. What they're saying with this law is, that the US needs more landlords.

[-] spectre@hexbear.net 6 points 2 weeks ago

Ah right, forgot about that one

[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 4 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

$1 million USD now > $1 million USD after xi-button

As the borrower you get to have the $1m now, the lender gets the $1m + interest later.

[-] RNAi@hexbear.net 4 points 2 weeks ago

Me neither, and I wouldn't take financial advice from a twice-stolen shitpost

this post was submitted on 12 Nov 2025
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