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this post was submitted on 10 Dec 2025
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Technology
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That's right, if one thing western analysts are famous for it's never being wrong about China's tech capabilities.
It's economics. Materials and even the fuel used by hypersonics (as in maneuvrable high-Mach glide vehicle) have a certain price tag, even in China. 100 kUSD buys far too little of that, even in Russia and China.
wait until you learn about economies of scale and the benefits of controlling the entire supply chain
Russia has that too, nevertheless Kinzhal and Kalibr (which are lower-Mach and don't carry a hypersonic glider stage) are both about 10 MUSD. Just the costs of JP-10/decilin are considerable already.
Depending on the specs, I'd assume the price to be a few MUSD, never under 100 kUSD.
Chinese industry and technical expertise absolutely dwarfs Russia
In hypersonics Russia currently has a lead over China. Obviously they're going to catch up rather soon.
Hypersonics cover a wide range of stuff, what this article discusses are cheap low end missiles as opposed to something like Oreshnik.
Chinas economy buff is crazy. If you could compare the buffs between US Logistics and China Economy, I think you’d be surprised. In both cases, they are capable of witchcraft.