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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of people passing through a road affected by landslides in Sri Lanka in the aftermath of the cyclone.


Over the last week, Sri Lanka has been hit by their worst national natural disaster since the 2004 Boxing Day Tsunami. Over 2 million people (about 10% of the population) were affected; the death toll is currently climbing past 600; nearly a hundred thousand homes have been damaged or destroyed, transport infrastructure is heavily damaged; industry has been damaged; and farmland has been flooded. The cost of damage so far looks to be about $7 billion, which is more than the combined budget spent on healthcare and education in Sri Lanka.

While there is plenty to say meteorologically about how this yet another concerning escalation as a result of climate change (Sri Lanka does experience cyclones, but they are usually significantly weaker than this), it's important to note that such disasters are, to at least a certain extent, able to warned about and their impacts somewhat mitigated. However, this requires both access to early detection and warning equipment, and an economy in which development is widespread - in this case, particularly in the construction of drainage systems and regulated construction, which has not generally occurred.

The IMF, on its 17th program with Sri Lanka, is doing its utmost to prevent such an economy from developing, as they instead promote reductions in public investment. On top of this, the rebuilding effort for Sri Lanka is already being planned and funded, and such donors include, of course, many Sri Lankan oligarchs, who will rebuild the damaged portions of the country yet further according to their visions, while sidelining the working class.

Perhaps neoliberalism's decay into its eventual death occurring concurrently into the gradual intensification of climate change and renewed wars signifies the rise of the era of disaster capitalism.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 1 points 1 day ago

So, I guess we can split the training up in two branches - training on how to operate equipment, and training of officers in tactics & strategy.

For the first one, China does of course export plenty of military tech, and that obviously involves training people on how the equipment works. Recently there was a bunch of drama over Argentina's fighter jet procurement, where the US pulled all the stops, even including diverting equipment meant for Ukraine, in order to make sure Argentina bought American rather than Chinese - and their explicit stated motivation was to prevent "a way for China to make inroads in what the US considers its backyard" as a "Chinese jet buy would come with Chinese infrastructure — PRC provided contractors and trainers, at the very least". So, clearly the US is pretty worried about the prospect of countries developing a military training relationship with China, and considers countering it a higher priority to their other imperial misadventure in Ukraine. Now, while the failure in that case .... reasons to be optimistic

As far as officer training though, they're nowhere near where the Soviets were (I recently posted something about Mogadishu, and a fact I learned myself for the first time trump-who-must-go was that the guy behind it trained at the Soviets' Frunze Academy). They have been increasing their joint trainings, but from the maps shown in that article it does still seem to be mostly "in their backyard" as it were, in Southeast Asia and neighboring countries. And this is still joint training, not other countries' officers coming over to China and living there for years while they study at an academy. Now, there are a lot of African immigrants going to China for higher education, but I assume very few of them are going for military stuff specifically (and China itself would need to have academies that actually accept foreign students in large numbers, which I'm not sure they do, @xiaohongshu@hexbear.net might be able to better clarify on that question).

One of the "good" things about being an imperialist piece of shit is that since you're constantly getting in all these fights, you get to regularly advertise your military prowess and technology to prospective clients. A more peaceful country doesn't get that opportunity. Now, back in the day many guerilla movements were influenced by Mao's writings (and there were numerous cases of movements in third world countries turning Maoist after being disappointed with their Soviet advisors not really giving them anything that they could work with, being in an undeveloped and non-industrialized country), but as far as modern conventional militaries, China's record in that area just isn't very good. Their intervention in the Korean war was impressive, but it was mostly a light infantry force, certainly one that came up with very clever tactics in order to effectively fight a technologically superior foe, but this still means that they didn't exactly get to demonstrate much prowess in combined arms warfare. And the later Sino-Vietnamese war isn't exactly a shining example.

(Although it can be argued that geopolitically it was actually a rather successful move as part of the greater post-Sino-Soviet-split maneuvering - in fact, this ties into exactly what I've been talking about with power projection and how getting into defense cooperation that you can't actually back up can be very discrediting - China was essentially trying to make the point to the Vietnamese of "don't buddy up with the Soviets, they won't be able to actually help you", and the conflict served as a very direct demonstration of that. But, however clever it may have been in the realm of subtle geopolitical intrigue, the way the conflict actually proceeded still just doesn't serve as good advertising for the military.

We can contrast this here with the American wars in Iraq, which were great advertising, even if the eventual outcome was a brutal grinding insurgency - I've talked about before how the "shock-and-awe" method of war did, in fact, have a lot to do with why the later insurgency could happen, because for however impressive it looked on a map timelapse video to see how quickly coalition forces advanced, in reality they

  1. Didn't actually destroy the Iraqi military as a fighting force, and when they later did like the most incompetent occupation government of all time and fired everyone, there were now suddenly a whole lot of not-dead former soldiers with an axe to grind. Contrast this with a grinding attritional conflict like WW2, where there wasn't any post-war Nazi insurgency because basically every able-bodied male, and a whole bunch of non-able-bodied ones, was either dead, in a hospital, or in a prisoner camp.

  2. Didn't actually bother securing a whole bunch of military targets, which allowed large swaths of military materiel to be taken by insurgents. The IED crisis that coalition forces suffered was literally their own fault - they moved so fast they kind of forgot to make sure that there weren't a bunch of bases with tonnes of bombs sitting around, unguarded since they had, in their infinite wisdom, fired the guards.

But the American political establishment cleverly drew a clean dividing line between the invasion and the post-invasion insurgency - as we all know, events in the past don't actually affect events in the future liberalism

)

this post was submitted on 08 Dec 2025
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