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this post was submitted on 19 Dec 2025
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Chapotraphouse
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Ground invasion is out of the question, a couple weeks of aerial bombardment, most likely
Chance of actually overthrowing Maduro, 0%
We said the same thing about Ukraine back in the day. It seems to me as though the people in charge are incredibly arrogant about what they can get away with. It's not like popularity or approval rating seems to matter a whole lot to them right now
Ukraine is flatter than me on Estrogen. It's incredibly easy to just roll on in there.
Venezuela is incredibly mountainous, including its coastline. Even an amphibious landing would be very difficult.
Its a lot of tall mountains, and narrow river valleys. The white guy who named it, called it Venezuela because it reminded him of Venice, Italy.
And despite how easy Ukraine is to invade we (NATO) still decided to use it to provoke Russia. Now the people in charge are even less connected to reality