US is already in a soft recession, natural/climate disaster is a given, China is already making inroads in soft power as of 2025 (REDnote explosion in early 2025, "I'm in a very Chinese time of my life" is a dumb meme but demonstrates that people are becoming a lot less hostile to China), AI agent does something unexpected is very vague, idk what "another deepseek moment" means. Of the ones that aren't a given, I think a social media exodus is actually very likely. I've seen a lot of pushback on social media and a big push to touch grass. It might not be an organized thing, but rather people quietly logging off.

The most unlikely is AR glasses becoming good. They will always be for dorks