152
submitted 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

edit: changed title from 'False Fukushima Fears' to 'Exaggerated Fukushima Fears', sacrificing my lovely alliteration as others have pointed out that it would be too much to say that the fears of radiation leakages are unfounded, but merely to say that this is the least bad option given previous precedent as cynesthesia has pointed out.

Image is of the large array of water storage tanks holding the tritium-contaminated water.

This week's preamble is very kindly provided by our beautiful poster @cynesthesia@hexbear.net, with some light editing. In periods where not much of earth-shattering importance is happening in the news, I hope to do this more often!


In 2011, the Fukushima nuclear incident occurred. Since then, water has been used to cool radioactive waste and debris, which contaminates the water with radioactive isotopes. Currently, TEPCO, the Japanese energy company that is reponsible to Fukushima, is storing about 1.3 million m^3^ of contaminated water (equivalent to about 500 Olympic swimming pools for our American friends) in about 1000 tanks. Approximately 100,000 m3 of contaminated cooling water is generated per year to this day. TEPCO doesn't want to store escalating volumes of nuclear waste for decades until half-lives are spent. This would mean adding substantial storage capacity every year at increased cost and risk of tank spills.

The contaminated water includes heavier isotopes like caesium as well as hydrogen's isotope, tritum. Caesium is a big atom at 137 molar mass (we love our tremendous atoms, folks) while tritium is heavy hydrogen and has only a molar mass of 3 (pathetic, low energy). The TEPCO people are using water treatment to remove heavy isotopes from water, but not tritium. The large adult isotopes are easy to remove with treatment but tritium is incorporated into water, so it blends in with the others. The treated Fukushima water contains low levels of the big isotopes but still contains tritium.

Isotopes release radiation that damages the body's cells. The longer an individual molecule containing an isotope is in a body, the more likely it is that the isotope will go BRAZAP and release radiation that fucks up the cells. Bioaccumulation is a toxicology term for how certain contaminants can accumulate in the food cycle. For example, algae eat contaminants, then the algae is eaten by bugs, then bugs by fish, then fish by people. Isotopes that are bioaccumulative like our large adult son caesium are more hazardous. Tritium is not bioaccumulative because it is effectively part of water. Water cycles through bodies quickly - that's why you sweat and pee and get thirsty. spray-bottle

Fukushima water would be treated and then then mixed with seawater at a ratio of 1:800 before it is pumped 1km offshore. Each year approximately 166,000 m3 of treated water will be released, which will draw down the volume of contaminated water being stored over a few decades. Real-time stats associated with the release are found here. At the point of discharge, water contains about 207 Bq/L of radioactivity, about 16 times greater than the 10-15 Bq/L background level in the ocean overall. Drinking water guidelines for tritium radioactivity range from 1,000-10,000 Bq/L, if one were to drink seawater.

In wastewater treatment terms, this is a small amount of dilution in a very large body of water. It is unlikely to have any measurable impact per the terms of Western science. In the context of mother nature taking yet another one for the team and environmental distress, this sucks. In the context of making the best of a shitty situation, the Fukushima water release is peanuts compared to the many other environmental liabilities that are not addressed. For example, the Hanford Site is an example of a nuclear wastewater storage facility gone/going wrong in Oregon.


Ending note by 72: By far the biggest impact of the release of this water won't be its direct effects, but those on commerce and international relations. Almost half of Japanese aquatic exports go to China, comprising 8% of all Japanese firms shipping goods to China, and they have now been cut off due to their anger at Japan. Perhaps this reaction and the cancellation of imports was inevitable, as nuclear power and radiation in general is a poorly understood, frightening, and thus easily exploitable topic in every country. China is not the first country to use a misunderstanding of radiation risk to try and achieve a goal - Germany seems very pleased with itself - and they will not be the last.

In all: it is unequivocal that China is massively exaggerating the risks of this water's release. However, the bellicose rhetoric and actions of Japan, South Korea, and America are a much greater danger to the region, and none of the three seem to be in any hurry to try diplomacy instead of increasing military budgets and gearing up for war.


It's that time again - every two months I give myself a week off, to rest and recalibrate. Your regularly scheduled programming will resume next week.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] MultigrainCerealista@hexbear.net 26 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

In the idealized capitalism that Adam Smith described several hundred years ago, you had hundreds and thousands of small cottage industries employing maybe a small number of workers, and in fact most workers at this time were still peasant farmers largely existing in a pre-capitalist economy so Adam Smith was describing the relatively small group of relatively skilled workers such as hat makers or bakers etc that had a particular skill meaning he was mostly describing only one part of the economy where the workers had bargaining power.

He contrasted the bargaining power of skilled workers with the lack of bargaining power that unskilled workers who lacked access to land had, and he was in fact very critical of the social ills of capitalism in much the same way that those other great economists Ricardo and Marx were. So that’s problem #1 with competition, it’s a Darwinian struggle for survival where the economically-strong can and do crush the economically-weak. A pure capitalist economy is the law of the jungle, and the jungle is full of predators who crush the defenseless.

Problem #2 with competition is what developed after the time of Adam Smith. We no longer live in a world where the markets are dominated by small business. We exist in a world where an extremely small number of corporations control the economy and those corporations are mostly owned by an extremely small fraction of society. Meaning this much vaunted “competition” is between a few hundred individuals who have real economic power and everyone else is just fighting for the scraps.

Problem #2 with completion is that over time the law of the jungle operates in a Darwinian fashion and the enterprises most able to survive are usually the biggest. The corporations with the largest production will benefit most from economies of scale. The corporations with the most money will be able to outspend or buy out their competitors. The corporations with the most influence will be able to influence politics by bribing or lobbying politicians for special favors. The law of the jungle means the strongest survive and in the evolutionary context of a capitalist market economy that means bigger and bigger corporations.

Problem #2 of competition is that it tends towards monopoly (or comfortable cartel duopoly / oligopoly) over time since that is the equilibrium state of capitalism.

That is to say, over the long term a competitive market economy has a strong evolutionary pressure to evolve towards an economy dominated by a tiny handful of corporations who dominate everything, so you end up with no or little competition anyway which means the social costs of crushing so many people at the alter of “competitiveness” wasn’t worth it anyway. It’s self-defeating since the mathematics of competition, the mathematics of game theory applied to a capitalist “free market”, result in an uncompetitive economy anyway.

And if the mathematical game theory argument is hard to grasp then I suggest you simply look out your window, because I’m describing the economy we currently got, the product of “capitalist competition” is when it’s borderline impossible not to consume food created by Nestle, etc. “Competition” as an ideal is self-defeating due to its Darwinian nature.

Problem #3 with competition is that it is less efficient than planning when that planning is performed by competent technocrats. We have historial examples:

Ultimately the two greatest economic success stories of the 20th century were:

  1. The economy of the USSR measured from the October revolution to the fall of the USSR saw the greatest average growth of the 20th century, and that’s including a horrific revolution, WW2 and Hitler ravaging the place and killing 20% of the population, and the poor performance of the 1980s. Average over the duration of the USSR and it was a very high rate of growth and mostly sustained for most of a century despite suffering extreme calamities such as WW2.
  2. The second best economic performance of the 20th century was the rise of China under the Dengist reforms, which did feature more market influence than the USSR but people underestimate the degree to which planning played a role in this rise and still does today with 40% of the Chinese economy being directly state administered and the other 60% seeing what is termed “dirigisme”, highly interventionist planning overplayed on a market economy.

That is to say the two outstanding economic performers of the 20th century were

  1. The USSR under central planning. An almost complete absence of true markets aside from farmers markets and cottage industry
  2. China under a mostly centrally planned economy, and very high levels of planning within a partial market economy (“dirigisme”)
  3. Japan under dirigisme (the way banks were divided by region and by industry in Japan, and the way banks were given specific quotas for how much loans to give made Japan in fact a very highly planned economy, but one that dressed itself up as a market economy by having a stock market. Nonetheless it was the central bank of Japan deciding exactly how much investment was directed exactly where under dirigisme)
  4. South Korea and Taiwan also saw dirigisme of a similar type to Japan, which makes their economies far more planned than unplanned.

And look at the failure of western “lassaiz faire” capitalism. It’s a complete joke to say our economy isn’t planned, just look at the trillions and trillions of dollars directed by central banks to keep the system working. Our economies are largely planned in the west these days, our most important sectors such as banking and major manufacturing are very close to government. The issue is was pretend they’re not planned and so allow the capitalist class to cream off the top.

[-] Catradora_Stalinism@hexbear.net 8 points 1 year ago

this is fucking golden

this post was submitted on 28 Aug 2023
152 points (100.0% liked)

news

23495 readers
706 users here now

Welcome to c/news! Please read the Hexbear Code of Conduct and remember... we're all comrades here.

Rules:

-- PLEASE KEEP POST TITLES INFORMATIVE --

-- Overly editorialized titles, particularly if they link to opinion pieces, may get your post removed. --

-- All posts must include a link to their source. Screenshots are fine IF you include the link in the post body. --

-- If you are citing a twitter post as news please include not just the twitter.com in your links but also nitter.net (or another Nitter instance). There is also a Firefox extension that can redirect Twitter links to a Nitter instance: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/libredirect/ or archive them as you would any other reactionary source using e.g. https://archive.today . Twitter screenshots still need to be sourced or they will be removed --

-- Mass tagging comm moderators across multiple posts like a broken markov chain bot will result in a comm ban--

-- Repeated consecutive posting of reactionary sources, fake news, misleading / outdated news, false alarms over ghoul deaths, and/or shitposts will result in a comm ban.--

-- Neglecting to use content warnings or NSFW when dealing with disturbing content will be removed until in compliance. Users who are consecutively reported due to failing to use content warnings or NSFW tags when commenting on or posting disturbing content will result in the user being banned. --

-- Using April 1st as an excuse to post fake headlines, like the resurrection of Kissinger while he is still fortunately dead, will result in the poster being thrown in the gamer gulag and be sentenced to play and beat trashy mobile games like 'Raid: Shadow Legends' in order to be rehabilitated back into general society. --

founded 4 years ago
MODERATORS