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this post was submitted on 06 Feb 2026
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We're honestly almost past that at this point. Solar is devouring the world. Total global electricity production capacity is about 10 TW. China is currently producing 1 TW of panels annually. And the panels are still getting better and the prices are still dropping. We will quickly reach the point where the vast majority of global electricity production is solar, and everything else is a rounding error.
There just isn't going to be any reason to build fusion plants. Maybe in the distant future colonies in the outer solar system and beyond will use them. But for anything inward of Mars, solar is the way to go. Solar+batteries is already, in 2026, the cheapest form of baseload power available. Material limitations are not a problem with modern battery chemistries. Daily swings in power demand will be solved by batteries. And we simply won't have to worry about seasonal power swings. We'll build enough solar panels to meet all our winter needs. We'll build enough to power our cities during the coldest, cloudiest months. And then the rest of they year we'll have super-abundant dirt cheap power.
The future is one of vast energy abundance. We're going to find all sorts of ways to use energy that we've never even dreamed of before - mostly to take advantage of the abundance of dirt cheap energy we'll have during all but the coldest months.
The days the steam engine are numbered. With the exception of remote polar outposts, everything's going solar. It's simply the cheapest most abundant form of energy we've ever discovered. Nothing can match it.
Not really. Unless there are some breakthroughs in technology that significantly lower capex & opex for grid scale energy storage, they'll be sticking around for a long time.
There is an asterisk on the 1TW number, and that asterisk is capacity factor. In practice it means that depending on the time of year and location, the effective output of your solar panel will be between 0-40% of label capacity .
In my country for instance, you can expect 0-2% output from a panel in the winter time, which also happens to coincide with the peak demands (heating). Luckily, our politicians had some foresight in the 70s & 80s and built lots of hydro and nuclear power, which has been the backbone of our grid ever since (despite attempts to dismantle it).
0 and 40 depending on location? We get 6Wh per W installed per day annual average here. We couldn't get that is 40% was the max. We get 1 to 3Wh/Wi/d in winter and 6 to 12Wh/Wi/d in summer
At midday on a cold sunny spring day we'll get 105% the nameplate power
Wh/Wi/day is Watt hours per Watt installed per day
1W of installed capacity would yield 24Wh of energy at 100% in 1 day at capacity. (1W * 24h = 24h)
Hence, you are getting an average of 6Wh / 24Wh * 100% = 25% capacity. Your winter numbers end up being 4-12% and summer 25-50% of capacity.
Wh/Wi/h is your capacity factor.