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Say no to BAYES
(mander.xyz)
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this post was submitted on 18 Feb 2026
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Is this a shit post?
No, it's my belief. I was forced to do statistics at school from a young age, and it polarized me.
It all started in kindergarten, when the teacher wanted us to take polls of stuff like favourite colours and such, and find the mode of the polls, and I didn't want to pay attention to other kids' favourite colours so mine were always wrong.
Then it continued through elementary, middle, and high school, and I often failed statistics tests, because they always had you calculate ludicrous amounts of differences and squares and means and I would inevitably make mistakes. My maths average was 9/10 regardless, but I hated statistics.
Then I had to take a statistics exam for my bachelor degree in computer science, and I failed and had to retake it next year.
Then I had to take a second statistics exam for my master's degree in computer science that I'm pursuing right now. And I failed that and had to retake it.
And this is how I specialised in formal verification and abstract interpretation. Many such cases.
Not gonna lie sounds like a skill issue.
There are do many situations where it's either statistics or just vibes/gut feeling. And I'd prefer it to be statistics if it's remotely important.
Of course there is plenty nonsense one can do with statistics and statistics without transparent methodology are a great way to hide lies.
Hey, in the end I got 28/30, I didn't just barely pass the exam. It just sucks because I don't like it and don't want to study or know about it. Also there is a lot of gut feelings involved in statistics. Don't pretend it's like an exact science or something. You make your calculations and it spits out a number and you go like "hmmmm I do not vibe with this number. This stuff feels more important so I want a better number" the calculations themselves involve a lot of "hmm this data feels like it benefits from this approach"