37
submitted 17 hours ago by yogthos@lemmy.ml to c/canada@lemmy.ca
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] yogthos@lemmy.ml 3 points 12 hours ago

You understand that the value of the bonds goes down and we lose money when US currency gets devalued right?

[-] villasv@lemmy.ca -1 points 8 hours ago

If USD is devalued over time we'll make bank in other ways, so not concerned about that. What's more likely is higher inflation would demand higher bond yields, which means bonds are cheaper and Canada should buy even more of them. It does mean that current bonds lose value but if we hold them to term doesn't matter much

[-] yogthos@lemmy.ml 3 points 7 hours ago

This logic is dangerously complacent and ignores the actual mechanics of how economies fail. You're assuming a smooth devaluation of the USD that conveniently boosts other assets, but that is not a guaranteed or even likely outcome at this point. An economic crash can lead to a rapid devaluation triggering a severe loss of confidence in US debt, not just higher yields on new bonds.

If inflation spirals then the Fed would be forced to hike interest rates aggressively to defend the currency, which would crush economic growth and likely trigger a recession. The idea that holding bonds to maturity makes losses irrelevant is a fundamental misunderstanding. Those losses represent destroyed capital and a massive opportunity cost. The government would be locking in negative real returns for decades while its debt servicing costs explode on new issuance. Canada buying more cheaper bonds in that scenario is like catching a falling knife. It's not exactly a clever investment strategy. We'd be doubling down on a failing asset as the underlying economy and fiscal position deteriorate. It's a recipe for a stagflationary crisis.

this post was submitted on 10 Mar 2026
37 points (95.1% liked)

Canada

11702 readers
487 users here now

What's going on Canada?



Related Communities


🍁 Meta


🗺️ Provinces / Territories


🏙️ Cities / Local Communities

Sorted alphabetically by city name.


🏒 SportsHockey

Football (NFL): incomplete

Football (CFL): incomplete

Baseball

Basketball

Soccer


💻 Schools / Universities

Sorted by province, then by total full-time enrolment.


💵 Finance, Shopping, Sales


🗣️ Politics


🍁 Social / Culture


Rules

  1. Keep the original title when submitting an article. You can put your own commentary in the body of the post or in the comment section.

Reminder that the rules for lemmy.ca also apply here. See the sidebar on the homepage: lemmy.ca


founded 5 years ago
MODERATORS