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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of a Khorramshahr-4 medium range ballistic missile, which has a range of about 2000km.


As I said in the last megathread, trying to figure out what exactly is happening is becoming ever more difficult. The gist of things is that Iran has, very justifiably, refused to negotiate (assassinating their leader and striking their country with hundreds of missiles in the middle of negotiations causes some reluctance to return to the table, I suppose). Censorship across the Middle East has further ramped up, with reportedly extreme punishments for posting footage of Iranian strikes online. From what I can gather, Iran's number of strikes have stabilized at a comfortable daily rate, with strikes into both the Gulf monarchies and Occupied Palestine continuing apace. Official charts of these strikes over time seem very disconnected from reality on the ground, but again, it's hard to really get at the specifics.

The messaging on how long the war is expected to last is rather muddled on both sides. The Trump administration fluctuates more than daily - and even sometimes in the same speech - on whether the war is already won or whether it's going to last months longer. The US seems to be coming up a new possible scheme every few hours: a ground invasion with the Kurds? A ground invasion without the Kurds? An amphibious assault? A series of commando operations to steal Iranian uranium? A massive parachuting operation into Tehran? Fuck it, let's just send the Navy into the Strait of Hormuz? There doesn't seem to be a coherent plan for continuing hostilities beyond firing more and more of a limited stockpile of cruise missiles into mostly non-military targets, hitting easily replaceable drone and missile launchers with a limited stockpile of drones, and burning a limited stockpile of interceptors at an astounding rate (and, in the process, disarming every other Western-aligned country of their interceptors).

Meanwhile, from Iran, I've seen rumors and reports from classic anonymous "senior IRGC officials" (no doubt some invented by Zionists to sow confusion), that I don't know how to substantiate, ranging anywhere from "If the US pulls back their forces now, we will restart negotiations," to "It doesn't matter what the US or the Zionists do or say, we aren't stopping until every last trace of Zionism in the Middle East has been extinguished," to a few positions in between those poles. Despite the damage to infrastructure in Iran, it doesn't seem like there has been any political or social fracturing. Not to speak too soon - perhaps the West will start earnestly trying to overfly Iranian territory to drop their very plentiful bombs soon - but every indication is that there will be no regime change nor societal collapse in Iran in the short and medium term.

The US is desperately trying - and mostly failing - to keep a lid on the economic firestorm they have ignited. There has been much ado about oil prices and oil futures and indexes and what all the myriad Lines going up and down signify and things like that, which is befitting such a financialized empire which is so disconnected from the actual physical flows of materials and much more attuned to vibes and speeches. The only thing I'm personally paying much attention to on the economic front is the drones and missiles slamming into fossil fuel infrastructure, the Hormuz blockade, and the resulting global shockwave of shortages, stoppages, closures, bankruptcies, and force majeures spreading out from the epicenter that is Iran.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 73 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

It's 16 March 2026, over four years since the war in Ukraine started, and almost two years since Operation True Promise 1, and your average "journalist" still believes or thinks that, on military matters:

  • "Iron Dome" intercepts Medium Range Ballistic Missiles. Arrow 2 and 3, David's Sling, THAAD, SM-3, their verified presence in Israel are all figments of one's imagination. Iron Dome either magically intercepts everything or is completely defeated, no in between.
  • Is incapable of telling the difference between a 122mm Grad rocket and a ballistic missile, leading to completely inaccurate assessments of military capabilities.
  • Dedicated Anti Ballistic Missile (ABM) systems, with a minimum altitude floor of tens of kilometres, have the capability intercept drones or cruise missiles flying at tree top height, the laws of physics don't exist.
  • Multi million dollar interceptor missiles are required to shoot down drones, dedicated counter unmanned aerial systems munitions and tactics, techniques and procedures don't exist. APKWS, Coyote, all figments of the imagination. Or if they exist, it's magical technology only Ukraine has access to. Because of course.
  • Strategic bombing doctrine is unchanged since WW2 and Vietnam and that kind of unguided carpet bombing still takes place, and every munition that is not a multi million dollar cruise missile is an unguided dumb bomb. JDAMs are unguided according to said journalists. The Gulf War, Kosovo, and the invasion of Iraq never happened, air power is permanently stuck in the Operation Linebacker era.
  • International law is real, militaries would never do countervalue strikes because it's "illegal". Militaries would never hit civilian infrastructure.
  • Senior political figures statements can be trusted during war time, wars will totally end soon by the power of magic and friendship, or never even even start, even as a massive military buildup occurs and continues throughout.
  • Every politically inconvenient attack with unintended consequences is a "false flag" performed by the opposing side. Evidence is never presented. Iran now has Tomahawk missiles and the US has Arash drones if this is to be believed.
  • The only way to shut down a naval choke point is with one's Navy interdicting ships, short range anti ship missiles and unmanned craft either don't exist, or would never be fired at merchant vessels (despite all of history proving otherwise. )
  • "Big Sky Theory" is actually real, two aircraft would never collide with each other in mid air because the sky is so big, tall and wide (ignoring the entire history of mid air collisions in aviation)
  • Negotiations are sacred and no one would ever amass their forces under the pretext of negotiation.

Can someone do something about said journalists please. They've had over four years to learn this. They get paid to inform the public, but they just put out poorly researched slop that aligns with their political priors, usually in a US context. I cannot handle it anymore. It's information poison. My brain gets fried every time I try read the news.

[-] tocopherol@hexbear.net 29 points 1 week ago

They get paid to inform the public,

If only, they are paid and amplified specifically because of the bullshit you listed. It's like the quote about the worst evil the devil does is convincing you he doesn't exist. Mainstream journalists and news outlets are allowed to be mainstream because they know exactly how to walk the line of appearing objective while always truly aligning their view with the goals of the empire.

[-] spudnik@hexbear.net 28 points 1 week ago

Can someone do something about said journalists please

kind-vladimir-ilyich

Thank you for your posts and all the information, so that I'm not as ill informed as these so called journalists

[-] kleeon@hexbear.net 27 points 1 week ago

At least they stopped calling APCs "tanks"

[-] woodenghost@hexbear.net 25 points 1 week ago

You could create a handy, nice looking infographic of the list you just posted as a share pic and hope it gets shared enough to reach journalists. You'd have to cite sources and do a nice design. Also, I can't check right now, but didn't they basically confirm they have Arash drones? They should be way easier to replicate than tomahawk missiles.

[-] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 23 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I could not agree more. I've been learning a lot about the nitty-gritty details of how these systems work, and the more I learn the more I ask myself "how the hell had I never heard about any of this before?"

I think this is in fact a trap not only for journalists. I have several friends whom I respect a lot, very sharp people with a keen eye for global geopolitics, who have very sophisticated views on why wars are fought, but absolutely not on how. This leads to a persistent pessimism and magical thinking that essentially boils down to "oh, the US is attacking [country]. Well, goodbye [country], the US is an unstoppable force, it's hopeless."

It's absolutely essential that we know what is realistic and what isn't. Before I started reading yours and Tervell's posts I had no idea what a THAAD even was, and I would absolutely take it at face value if I read an article talking about this fancy miraculous air defense system that no missile can penetrate. And I would not question Gulf states claiming, as they have been doing recently, a 100% interception rate. Or maybe I would question it, but it would be a vibes-based assessment, rather than something based on the knowledge that these systems are far from the perfect Wunderwaffen they are supposed to be.

this post was submitted on 11 Mar 2026
141 points (100.0% liked)

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