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this post was submitted on 26 Oct 2023
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Yes. The theme is your inability to understand stats. If cars, which are more readily available than guns are able to cause more damage every shooter would go for that but reality is guns are easier. Sure, if they're determined they will find a way, but people tend to go for the easiest path. Deterrents tend to slow the process as studies have shown. That's why looking at stats is so useful for understanding circumstances and deterrents. That's if you really wanted to have an unbiased honest conversation.
Waco is not serving your argument. Firstly, the military was not involved. Second, we're talking 4 ATF agents lost compared to 76 adults. Soooo....I don't see the relevance. The Xbox gravy seals is not going to live up to it's expectations. Shit, is proud boys the best example of the 2a crowd because they look like they can't run a mile either (that's must my opinion though, maybe the photos are deceiving).
I believe the point they are making is that "sure guns are the easiest path until you ban guns, then something else (seemingly cars is suggested) would become the easiest path and therefore would be 'switched to' by those wishing to cause violence, as their violent ideation was not dealt with merely the tool was, so now the tool has changed."
I.e, most people hammer in nails with a hammer becuse it's the easiest path, but if you ban hammers and I need this nail in this wood, I guess I'll use the back of my wrench. Sure, it isn't as good but it'll work just fine. I wouldn't say "oh well nothing can be built, guess I won't build shit," if I'm significantly determined to get that nail in I'll do everything in my power to do so including using tools not exactly meant for the job but that'll work.
One could make the argument that "at least it takes me longer to build the thing," or "you'll be able to build less things," but that is only true assuming I downgrade to a wrench. I could make my own hammer easily, or I could upgrade to a nail gun (in this analogy I guess that'd be a pressure cooker and some nails Boston Marathon style.)
They do not seem to be saying "cars are more effective than guns," imo, though it seems to be taken that way by (possibly you and) others in this thread.
The research shows that deterrents work. The more there are in place, the less likely the acts are going to be committed. That's why gun owners have such a high success rate with suicide. It's much easier. You can all keep insisting that the attackers will switch to the next best thing but if that was the case, every other country in the world would have an equal amount of murder sprees, just committed by cars instead? Reality shows that mass killings in developed countries happen predominantly in the US. Why is that?
Japan has very few firearms however still has a high suicide rate
True. That's why we shouldn't compare US suicidality to cultures that are quite different and use similar cultures for control when evaluating stats. For instance, I wouldn't look at the success rates of building a Starbucks in Mogadishu to long island. They are too different.
I like your thinking
Sure, suicide is easier with guns, but Japan demonstrates quite well that they are hardly a prerequisite. Guns are banned in Japan and so, to the other commenter's point, they find another way to achieve their goals. Guns aren't even statistically the most effective, drinking on train tracks is (or doing fentanyl on the train tracks, hit ya with the 2x.)
Sure if you don't account for any other differences between countries like mental health or other social services, or culture, or anything. Unfortunately in reality it is rarely that black and white, there are other differences.
Suicide is definitely faster with guns. I wouldn't call it easier. You can take yourself out quietly, cleanly and peacefully with stuff you can buy over the counter at any pharmacy on the planet.
No, before you ask, I won't post specifics here on how to do it. If you are considering ending your life, please get help. If you are in a country that allows for medical euthanasia, please work with them rather than take your life on your own.
The studies I refer to use local groups for control and not other nations. It is worthwhile looking up the studies.
Absolutely there is more nuance, I was responding to the person that brought up the Paris truck attack. All things combined, the deterrents are what seem to have the most effect.
Sure, but deterrents also have to be effective. Simply banning assault rifles for instance will just transfer it to the already-more-often-used handguns. Background checks are already a thing, unfortunately the Gov won't give gun owners access to NICs for private sales (though they've been begging for decades, and that would help), but the people who pull these shootings are always some shit like this where they should have kept him IVC'd (which federally, legally, disqualifies him from firearms ownership and he should have had them confiscated and the IVC reported to NICs, already all laws people just didn't do their job), or steal the guns from someone, or just are able to squeak through with a clean background. And some things like mental health checks are already a thing with the IVC but tbh I think things like "no guns for people with PTSD" sounds pretty fucked up even if that would help, people with PTSD have rights too.
I agree. I firmly believe something like universal background checks and closing the private sales loophole would be a step in the right direction. Again, these aren't intended to be perfect solutions, they are just meant to slow it down. We can't let perfect be the enemy of progress.
Yes, because every other country is otherwise identical...
No. It doesn't.
However, I can think of a certain group of unarmed people right now being murdered by the hundreds/day by an invading force.
That's cute. Hamas is armed to the teeth and well organized. How's it going for them? It's not even the US military but the IDF. I'd really like to see Derrick put down his Xbox controller and get to it.
Agreed
...what stats? You mean stats of the most successful mass murders? I think that belongs to trucks and planes.
Guns are just what they see on TV. Lots of people use cars, bombs or whatever else. In the case of France they didn't have guns, but it obviously didn't stop them.
Uuuuhhh but that WAS my argument...
It doesn't matter. No one is keeping score. The point is they stood up for themselves and gave the ATF a fuckin' helluva time. Wanna take a poll on how many armed citizens there are vs. ATF agents? Or even the entirety of the US military?
Yea the military was never involved. So it has nothing to do with my initial point. Buck and Chuck are not taking down the US army. I don't know why we got sidetracked with it.
You're the one who brought it up?
The point is the military won't be dropping bombs on its own people.
You're so confident. Why? Even after I showed you ATF agents alone can suppress an insurrection before we even bring in armed guards.
Why wouldn't I be?
LOL you're talking about a handful of looney cultists. I'm talking about a revolution.
You're still so confident despite having 0 counter-arguments
Then why bring up Waco at all?
Fuck dude. I can't. We're done here. Bye.
At least I'm not the one making statements with full confidence. "The military won't drop bombs on it own people" . Open a history book. Any. Ever.
WACO negotiations took 53 days, but MOVE was given a day to leave before two bombs were dropped in the middle of rowhouses in Philadelphia 😂 arming yourself to discourage the government works way better when the government is already favorable to your cause.
False. Spain 1936.
The phone is ringing, it's for you. Sounds like some miners in West Virginia from 1921 would like to talk to you.
Whoa, you got a time traveling phone!?
Nah, you're just living that far in the past.
Wait so IM a time traveler!? And I didn't even know it! 🤯🤯🤯
You're not a time traveler, you just have the mental acuity of a fossil.
Oh, I'm a shape shifter too, how exciting. Tell me, how did you learn of my super powers?