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this post was submitted on 08 Dec 2023
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The US will do this but Vz will just continue to issue IDs to people in the disputed territories, and as others have said they'll start building infrastructure there in a place Guyana has never bothered to do so. No weapons needed when Guyana has 4* helicopters and 4500 troops, total.
*now it's three because they crashed one into a mountain
This is a good example of why this might not be such a bad idea for Venezuela. The situation here is not really like a Ukraine situation where the United States has built up a formidable military in the region with armaments and training and such. It’s more like Taiwan but even worse. In Taiwan the United States has a known presence and actively trains them and provides them with weapons. Doesn’t really matter because if China wanted to take Taiwan by force they absolutely could and there’s really not a whole lot America could do to stop them. In this situation the us military presence is almost non existent, and they don’t have a military to really train or give weapons to.
Some people will say that just makes it more likely for the United States to become directly involved but that poses two problems.
A. It will then no longer be a proxy conflict, which the United States does not have the resources for because it really only has resources to fight China.
B. Of the equipment we do have none of it is at all very good for fighting in South America. Pretty much no one has training and all the equipment was meant to fight in the Middle East.
Could be wrong, but I’m willing to bet the US doesn’t get involved and if it does get involved it’s gonna get it’s shit rocked relatively.
Yeah I agree, the US military is already a force spread far too thin and there are other conflicts more important to the US empire (to lose). We already saw what happened when the Trump admin tried to use some merc losers to fuck with Vz - a row of absolute failures pissing themselves on concrete who were captured by unarmed fishermen. USA doesn't have a carrier group they can dedicate to this, and carrier groups are their standard oppression tool. What are they gonna do, airlift a bunch of crayon-eaters to get got in the jungle the Venezuelans are familiar with? Seems unlikely.
Venezuela also has good military support from Russia
I'm sure they'd gladly ramp up material support as well
You are thinking of a ground invasion or investment of resources other than relocating drone and their pilots to a ship off the cost, and teaching death squads how to carve Venezuelan bodies like they are at a butcher shop.
Guyana has a military force of 4500 people, I don't think they really have that much potential for school of the americas style death squads
Just in raw numbers, Venezuela’s population is over 30 times larger.