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this post was submitted on 17 Dec 2023
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The scariest part? This guy is polling above Biden
He's definitely going to win, fascism is way too popular. Biden's not great, but Trump's a fucking disaster
I wouldn't throw in the towel just yet. When was the last time a sitting democratic president lost the second term, with a strong economy? Plus the entire 18+ demographic waking up thanks to the attack on reproductive rights, on trans, gay, basically anything other than white males.
With the number of criminal charges trump is facing I would be surprised if he gets anywhere near this next election. All it takes is one or two states declaring him unfit under treason and sedition and he has zero chance of winning even with the electoral college being borked.
Plus keep in mind that trump is good for these news organizations. They are going to keep giving him the spotlight and he can keep rilling up the 75% of us that know what his masters want from him.
Remember that it's a very small, very loud minority supporting trump. We also don't have the same troll farms manipulating people on fb and elsewhere like we did last time around. We will also be more likely to be more vigilant (hopefully) protecting people at the voting booth from people scaring off anyone who may vote for sanity.
All valid points, but don't forget the Republican party has been working for over a decade through gerrymandering to ensure they won't lose an election. They are close to their goal. If ranked choice were national and popular vote had any weight then gerrymandering would be less effective. Until then it's close to a gamed election system.
If this was 100% foolproof trump wouldn't have lost the second term.
Remember that for decades Republicans only win via the electoral college not the popular vote. We have the perfect recipe for a sweep of the federal and state governments so long as we can get the younger generations out to vote.
I saw something the other day about a republican strategist saying that it's likely they will lose the house or senate iirc. Trump and company will be the downfall of the republican party. Assuming Biden wins again hopefully we will go after the bullshit hard and put the final nail in that parties coffin. Biden can't order or even suggest anything now because it would not be good optics.
Yeah the last Republican to win both terms by popular vote was Ronald Reagan. The last Republican president to never win without winning the popular vote was George H.W. Bush, and he was so long ago that he campaigned on ending global warming as a Republican.