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this post was submitted on 19 Dec 2023
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Maybe the US gives up on China and just turns on the horrors in the periphery instead while being in full denial that it's a declining power.
I had thought that they would eventually go for Mexico, but maybe this kicking off has become the new forever war.
Or maybe this is just the beginning, a method to ramp up production and manufacturing for the big war later on.
Ultimately, the US going against China is a long-term play. China represents the most significant threat to the US’ hegemony eventually. But right now the economic relationship between China and the US is mutually beneficial and if all of the sudden the US sees multiple fires on the stove, they can’t even afford to think long-term.
I am wondering if the ship is just too much of a mess to even steer it at this point. Every part of its design is pretty much to make it impossible to do anything. Can they actually do... Planning? At all?
I get the impression that they might not actually be able to react to China because they do not have control of the ship, it's rudderless and seemingly goes wherever the current wind takes it. Changing the direction of that wind seems to require a major catalyst each time and manufacturing those huge events is quite costly and difficult.
For wars? Absolutely. For anything else? Not really.
Long term planning at the national level has never been a strength of the US because of the rotating nature of the politicians in the system; even when both parties agree on a perceived threat to their hegemony, they react to it differently (and often condemn the other side for their reaction)