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I love your optimism, but half the country has bought into the fact that this is all a partisan witch hunt and that Biden has “weaponized” the DoJ to go after a ”completely innocent” Trump. There‘s no way that any bullshit ruling by Cannon will somehow swing public opinion massively in favor of the Democrats.
Scarily enough, it’s far more likely that this galvanizes the right and Trump ends up winning in 2024.
Trump has a major problem. He's not gaining any new voters. Nobody is coming along saying, "Ya know, I took a second look at this guy and he ain't that bad!" Many of the ones he has are as hardcore as they come, not going anywhere. The rest were just ignorant "anything but a Dem" voters. At worst, those sorts will stay home.
He simply can't win another election without unprecedented voter suppression, to the tune of millions and millions of ballots. And remember, he pulled out all the stops last time and failed.
And was in the White House when he failed.
Which is to say, if he couldn't win with cheating while the incumbent, I think his chances are really bad in 2024.
I think he's got too much baggage to win in 2024. I think Republicans will circle the wagons around DeSantis this time. Our best hope is that Trump loses the primaries and then runs 3rd party to split the conservative vote.
The 2022 election would say that most of the country has turned against Trump. With the majority of his picks losing. The political environment is changing. Another 2 years add a larger Democrat base in gen z voters that heavily lean left. Plus the extra 2 years kill off heavily leaning right voters. It's a lose-lose for the Republicans, that's why they want to raise the voting age.