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Best way to backup files
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In my experience, a well treated, non overused physical hard drive can and likely will hold up for over 15 years.
I haven't had any problems with any of my HDDs, but I don't stress them out with daily gaming or video production, and I don't toss them around like footballs, obviously.
Just speaking from my own experiences though..
My external HD is working well, but the computer's HD seems to be of poor quality. I'm worried that once the primary copy gets corrupted, the mistakes will then be copied to the external HD as well. (Although if I understand rsync correctly, this shouldn't happen.)