110
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
this post was submitted on 02 Jul 2024
110 points (95.1% liked)
news
24084 readers
887 users here now
Welcome to c/news! Please read the Hexbear Code of Conduct and remember... we're all comrades here.
Rules:
-- PLEASE KEEP POST TITLES INFORMATIVE --
-- Overly editorialized titles, particularly if they link to opinion pieces, may get your post removed. --
-- All posts must include a link to their source. Screenshots are fine IF you include the link in the post body. --
-- If you are citing a twitter post as news please include not just the twitter.com in your links but also nitter.net (or another Nitter instance). There is also a Firefox extension that can redirect Twitter links to a Nitter instance: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/libredirect/ or archive them as you would any other reactionary source using e.g. https://archive.today . Twitter screenshots still need to be sourced or they will be removed --
-- Mass tagging comm moderators across multiple posts like a broken markov chain bot will result in a comm ban--
-- Repeated consecutive posting of reactionary sources, fake news, misleading / outdated news, false alarms over ghoul deaths, and/or shitposts will result in a comm ban.--
-- Neglecting to use content warnings or NSFW when dealing with disturbing content will be removed until in compliance. Users who are consecutively reported due to failing to use content warnings or NSFW tags when commenting on or posting disturbing content will result in the user being banned. --
-- Using April 1st as an excuse to post fake headlines, like the resurrection of Kissinger while he is still fortunately dead, will result in the poster being thrown in the gamer gulag and be sentenced to play and beat trashy mobile games like 'Raid: Shadow Legends' in order to be rehabilitated back into general society. --
founded 4 years ago
MODERATORS
A good summary. I think the key factor is that Russia has massive artillery superiority along with the ability to produce shells in the necessary quantities. Something like 80% of the casualties come from artillery fire, so that's clearly by far the most dominant factor in the whole war.
It's also worth noting that Ukraine is forced to act very predictably because they have to worry about media perception. This allows Russia to draw Ukraine into cauldrons like Artemovsk, Avidevka, and Volchansk, where Ukraine has no choice but to keep feeding its best forces into losing battles.
I expect that the war will end with the collapse of the Ukrainian army. As motivated and trained people become increasingly replaced with conscripts who have no interest in fighting, the professional core of the army becomes eroded. Eventually there will be an inflection point where there just aren't enough professional soldiers to hold the whole thing together, and the collapse will be very rapid once that point is reached.