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this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2024
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For sure, US was very concerned that Europe started becoming economically integrated with Russia and China. If this was allowed to go on, then US would lose control over Europe. The war served to sever the economic ties with Russia, and US is now strong arming Europe to decouple from China as well. The ideal case for US was to break Russia, and preventing Eurasian integration is the secondary objective that they're now likely to achieve.
I know a lot of people expect these ISIS like terrorists to attack Russia, but I'm highly skeptical that this will be happening at any appreciable scale myself. It's far more likely that Russia will be able to do the same thing in Ukraine as they did in Chechnya. There's going to be a pro Russian government, and if living standards start improving under it, then vast majority of people will want to just get back to living their lives. There's not going to be any support for some sort of insurgency.
Also worth noting that US sees China as the main threat, so the amount of resources that US is willing to devote to Europe is limited by that. My expectation is that the US will leave Europe holding the bag on the whole thing and start pivoting to Asia.