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this post was submitted on 11 Jul 2024
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These models can't write satisfyingly/convincingly enough yet.
But they will.
I've been using AI for about 5 years. I understand fairly well what they can and can't do. I think you are wrong. I would bet money on it. They can't reason or plan no matter how much context or training you give them because that's not what they do at all. They predict the next word, that's all.
I would bet against this. It's not that hard to imagine machine learning being able to digest and reproduce plot-level architecture, and then handing the wording off to an LLM..
I mean AI can produce a plot, but the real craft of like, the heroes journey or having a theme that comes back again and again in subplots and things like that. Humor. Irony and satire. Pacing - OMG pacing. It's just not very good at those things.
If you want to write a Dick and Jane book with AI writing and art, yeah probably. But something like Asimov or Heinlein (or much less well known authors who nevertheless know their craft) I think an AI would never be able to speak to the human spirit that way.
Even at the most low-brow level, I can generate AI porn, but it's never as good as art created by humans.
I wonder if the bigger concern isn't AI being able to imitate good writers, but rather it being able to imitate poor ones.
Have them predict what a reasonable plan would look like. Then they can start working from that.