347
submitted 2 months ago by mozz@mbin.grits.dev to c/politics@lemmy.world

I have no idea about William Hill. But the odds they describe sound about right to me, and the Nate Silver thing and the summary of Trump’s speech sound informative

inb4 BIDEN COPIUM HAHAHA etc and etc

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] lagomorphlecture@lemm.ee 81 points 2 months ago

I can't keep up. Is Trump losing or is Biden losing? It changes every 5 minutes.

[-] tiefling@lemmy.blahaj.zone 146 points 2 months ago
[-] lagomorphlecture@lemm.ee 23 points 2 months ago

You got me there.

[-] Soulg@sh.itjust.works 9 points 2 months ago

Biden was and will be another good president. Stop allowing perfection to be the enemy of good.

[-] vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works 8 points 2 months ago

Honestly id take the Enclave from Fallout at this point. At least then we get eyebots, power armor, and vertibirds. Plus I want to release FEV Curling 13 into the water supply of Utah to see what happens.

[-] Snowpix@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 months ago
[-] vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works 4 points 2 months ago

More like Mormon Cadavers. The Enclave was gonna use FEV Curling 13 to commit omnicide against everyone not vaccinated against it, which happened to be a list consisting exclusively of the Enclave.

[-] Snowpix@lemmy.ca 1 points 2 months ago

Right, I forgot the distinction. I've gotta play Tale of Two Wastelands again.

[-] vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works 1 points 2 months ago

If it makes it any better its better explained in Fallout 2 when you talk to president richardson. They barely explain it in Fallout 3.

[-] Grandwolf319@sh.itjust.works 4 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Am Canadian. Does that mean we are winning? Cause it seems like we are losing, just more politely.

Sorry to bring the mode down eh.

[-] corsicanguppy@lemmy.ca 1 points 2 months ago

We have our own mouth breather hillbilly voters to content with.

[-] dhork@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago

Take off, hoser!

[-] jj4211@lemmy.world 38 points 2 months ago

The answer is no one knows. If you care, vote and don't be complacent. Even if the news decides they think they know, they still don't know.

[-] CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world 6 points 2 months ago

This is the answer.

[-] SkyezOpen@lemmy.world 20 points 2 months ago

They're competing to be unelectable and both winning.

[-] emax_gomax@lemmy.world 6 points 2 months ago

In a race to the bottom I never bet against trump. Literally if Biden stops talking today I bet he'd have a better chance of winning by the end of it.

[-] normalexit@lemmy.world 14 points 2 months ago

The person losing more is the one that most recently opened their mouth and reminded voters who they are.

[-] gamermanh@lemmy.dbzer0.com 12 points 2 months ago

While it looks like half the country is split between this dipshits, in reality the majority of Americans agree on a shockingly high number of issues.

One of those issues is that both options are fucking awful, so who's "losing" harder is matter of witchcraft at the moment as things violently spiral into the ridiculous

[-] Asafum@feddit.nl 13 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

in reality the majority of Americans agree on a shockingly high number of issues.

And it's exactly why I say this every single day in some comment or another: I FUCKING HATE PROPAGANDISTS!!!

What you said is absolutely true and without the likes of Fucker Carlson, Sean Hamface, and Laura Inbread, we'd actually have some fucking semblance of unity and solidarity... But no, we get divide and conquer... Hate hate hate hate. Fox primetime is literally the "two minutes hate" from 1984 with an ever changing Goldstein.

[-] CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world 10 points 2 months ago

Biden is not really that awful as an option, as far as it goes. If he is in decline, he steps down after the win. It's not like Biden as a choice is comparable to donnie as a choice. They are night and day.

Now, trying to sell Biden as a product to "independents" (aka, the low info) because we sell politicians like the way we sell consumer goods like fizzy sugar water - that's not so great, since the bothsiderists keep acting like they are equally bad options.

[-] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 10 points 2 months ago

Just vote, volunteer to help give rides to people that wouldn't be able to vote without it. If everyone votes, there will be no chance for the racist rapist with 34 felonies that has said on record that he will be a dictator.

[-] ByteOnBikes@slrpnk.net 5 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Trump is losing and they want Biden to drop out.

[-] davidagain@lemmy.world 4 points 2 months ago

Trump is a sore loser. Does that help?

[-] RagingRobot@lemmy.world 3 points 2 months ago

No one has voted yet so no one is ahead or behind. It's all speculation and a waste of time

[-] Twig@sopuli.xyz 2 points 2 months ago

It really isn't a waste of time

[-] RagingRobot@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago

It's at least as much of a waste or time as this conversation lol

[-] Twig@sopuli.xyz 1 points 2 months ago

If you say so. There's a reason these odds are monitored, to dismiss it entirely as a waste of time isn't wise.

[-] Sho@lemmy.world 2 points 2 months ago

Same, it's like bad actors are muddying the waters on purpose, ignore it all. Vote

[-] Soulg@sh.itjust.works 2 points 2 months ago

Trump is losing.

[-] enbyecho@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Losing implies that something happened. Like in a race a contestant is visibly ahead, or in gambling you have more chips than someone else or your money is all gone.

[-] JimSamtanko@lemm.ee 0 points 2 months ago

This is why we don’t trust polls.

[-] EatATaco@lemm.ee 3 points 2 months ago

The polls are literally telling you that it's neck and neck right now. If this isn't clear to you, the problem isn't the polls.

[-] JimSamtanko@lemm.ee -2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

I don’t cast my vote based on polls polls and no one should. They’re full of shit. Everyone needs to vote like they don’t exist.

[-] EatATaco@lemm.ee 4 points 2 months ago

They’re full of shit.

While I agree that people should vote like they don't exist, the reality is that they do a good job of giving you an idea of where voters stand. They were historically accurate in 2022.

If you think "they're full of shit" it's almost certainly a problem of understanding rather than with the polls themselves. Considering you haven't really made an argument as to why, I can't know for sure.

[-] John_McMurray@lemmy.world -1 points 2 months ago

They're lying cause Trumps winning to the point high level democratic members are openly admitting Bidens gonna lose. All this is pitiful window dressing.

this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2024
347 points (92.6% liked)

politics

18894 readers
2980 users here now

Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!

Rules:

  1. Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
  2. Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
  3. Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
  4. No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive.
  5. Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
  6. No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning

We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.

All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.

That's all the rules!

Civic Links

Register To Vote

Citizenship Resource Center

Congressional Awards Program

Federal Government Agencies

Library of Congress Legislative Resources

The White House

U.S. House of Representatives

U.S. Senate

Partnered Communities:

News

World News

Business News

Political Discussion

Ask Politics

Military News

Global Politics

Moderate Politics

Progressive Politics

UK Politics

Canadian Politics

Australian Politics

New Zealand Politics

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS