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this post was submitted on 20 Jul 2024
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Florida is a fucking existential risk
Not for too much longer.
Support climate destruction to kill Florida? sssssss. Oooh.
🫡 So long, Florida, and thanks for all the fish.
The water is too hot for fish, the OCEAN was 101.1 °F last summer, not sure if it’s gotten that hot they this year, but it’s not going to be hosting much wildlife at that temp. Other than e.coli maybe.
It'll be some time before we see 5 m of rise.
West Antarctic alone is about 3m, I don't know how fast that goes, but without the buttressing of the shelf it's inevitable (best case in 13ky, or in some hundred years). Either way, Florida better get smart about this, they should/could/would know what's coming
I absolutely agree long term with out change Florida will be submerged. I only hoped to relay that this was a "in 20 years" type deal.
I just read an article on Arstechnica stating that sea level rise is accelerating rapidly for the American South, and went up nearly an inch last year (going off of memory so I'll have to look up the article and link it)
The good news is Mar-a-Lago will be unplayable with only a one meter rise.
Pretty sure a 5 meter rise isn't possible. If it is, it won't be in our lifetime.
3 meters is pretty doable in our lifetime. But it wasn’t the model 10 years ago so who knows where this speedrun will take us.
... well that's fucking depressing. I'd wager it could have been about 10 years ago when I heard that.
A complete Greenland slide-off would be an average sea level rise of about 7m, and is possible in our lifetimes as an extreme event (something like a fraction of a percent chance before 2100). If it happened it would be multiple events really, spread out across years or decades. Antarctic ice moving so its weight is no longer supported by the continent was too unlikely to include in models a few years ago, but the West Antarctic has been so active that I'd expect it to start showing up in estimates.
5 feet would inundate Miami.
Stop ruining everyone's good time.
I don't understand this map, I live very close to the coast and am 20+ feet above sea level. 5 meters is 16' 4.85".
The highest point in Pinellas county is 110', for those who don't know, it's the peninsula on West Coast of Florida.
I'm not under the impression there will be a consistent land mass, but something more resembling new islands, keys and beach fronts makes more sense than showing areas entirely underwater.
I found the source: A 2005 educational image from teachingboxes.org
No explanation on what the shaded region actually means, but it does seem to line up with features on this topographical map.
My guess is that it is either based on a rather imprecise average elevation, excluding land that is technically still above water, or that the shaded area represents an area made uninhabitable by the rise in sea level and not the actual new coastline.
Regardless, this NOAA Sea Level Rise Map seems way more accurate.
5 meters? I don't think it would take nearly that much sea rise to submerge most Florida cities.