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Okay, seriously tho
(hexbear.net)
If you have a materialist worldview and understand class relationships, you can generally come out of most situations with the correct take without knowing the details.
Same tbh, my default assumption is the government is lying and the US is the bad guys
Past performance and all that
It's not analysis, but it's a really good heuristic.
I'm just a simple man toiling in the posting mines