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I made a spreadsheet of Electoral College changes over the years, noticing a trend. Do I have something legit here or not? (docs.google.com)

submitted 1 month ago by Audacious@sh.itjust.works to c/asklemmy@lemmy.world

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After noticing the electoral votes changed for this election from the last in 2020, I counted the change in differences of republican states and democratic states, ignoring the swing states. I noticed republican states gained more votes this time than last, and democratic states lost votes, overall giving republicans more electoral votes for this election. Then I kept on going all the way back to almost the civil war. To me, it seems the electoral college has been favoring red states from 1968 to present time. I want to post this somewhere to get feedback if there is a legit trend (red/right leaning) or I have missed something or anything else.

I tried to color the sheets so they are not too hard to read and understand. I also color coded conservative party as red, and liberal party as blue. There was a party shift between 1960 and 1980, probably having 1971 as the inflection point (WTF happened in 1971?). It was interesting to see some states stay mostly their colors from the remnants of the civil war to present day. You should be able to download the document, if you want.

Also, should I also send this to my representative or would that be pointless, or fruitless?

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[-] andyburke@fedia.io 32 points 1 month ago

That's weird timing:

https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/

[-] Audacious@sh.itjust.works 14 points 1 month ago

I was referencing that website, it kinda lines up around the time the parties switched. The party switch could be another result or part of the cause of that inflection point. I realized there could be connection when I was trying to figure out when the parties switched, but I don't know enough about that history.

[-] InverseParallax@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The party switch was because of the Civil rights movement, nothing else.

The south was a single issue region since the beginning, at least for the majority it's always been racism, for the rest it was corruption or generally selling out their people for whatever the elites could get, like fighting the minimum wage and unions to the death.

So I'd say the death of unions was the turning point, helped by Nixon and the resurgence of the political power of the south with the dixiecrats freed from their quasi-white-socialist ideology following the successes of the new deal.

[-] Monument@lemmy.sdf.org 11 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

That’s when my mom became old enough to vote, and she was a real idiot.

It’s not, you know, the best theory, but it’s the best theory I can come up with while also doing no research.

this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024

117 points (97.6% liked)

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