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Ukraine is now struggling to survive, not to win
(www.economist.com)
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this post was submitted on 29 Oct 2024
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To think Ukraine could have been in a better place if Biden wasn’t an Israel-first president. I am surprised China didn’t take advantage of the US’s distraction to retake Taiwan.
At this rate I think what will happen is that Russia will keep the Russian speaking regions in the east and Ukraine will join NATO. Neither side will get all of what they wanted.
There is zero chance of Russia allowing western part of Ukraine join NATO. This is literally what the whole war was about.
I guess it will depend on who has more patience. Russia or the EU. I don't think the US will support Ukraine for too long even if Harris wins. But I am not an analyst, I am just guessing.
Russia is winning the war militarily and they will dictate terms. The two options on the table will be WW3 or Ukraine breaks with the west. Also, Europe is in no position to do anything on their own. They don't have the industrial capacity that comes anywhere close to Russia. Even the US can't keep up https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/10/politics/russia-artillery-shell-production-us-europe-ukraine/index.html
Why are you surprised when China literally says over and over and over again that they have no intention of violently invading the island and forcing it at gunpoint to reintegrate? They have said over and over for years and years that they will reintegrates their sovereign territory through diplomacy and establishing one country two systems, as they have demonstrated works multiple times over.