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[-] CaptDust@sh.itjust.works 7 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago)

Cruz won over Beto at 2.6%, 538 is projecting Cruz at +4% over Allred. What am I missing?

[-] TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee 6 points 5 hours ago

The Iowa poll is the key to this whole thing.

The Setzer poll tosses out what past elections use as a base for their calculations. She goes off what's happening now and it's an extremely reliable poll.

#VOTE!!

[-] CaptDust@sh.itjust.works 5 points 5 hours ago

I'm going to ask this dumb question in the interest of learning: I understand and agree Setzer is solid at polling Iowa, but what does it have to do with the Texas Senate?

[-] TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee 4 points 5 hours ago

Polls are going off old data, not taking in account the new voters, and the Republicans dropped 30 shitty right-wing polls that skewed the data.

[-] cm0002@lemmy.world 2 points 4 hours ago

Can't really trust the polls, from what I've been reading they've been overcompensating for the "Trump R factor" not to mention all the shady Republicans polls that keep dumping trash data that are all "Oh yea it's gonna be a total Trump landslideee!!!! Trust me brooo!"

[-] njm1314@lemmy.world 5 points 5 hours ago

Blind optimism

this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2024
411 points (99.5% liked)

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