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I don't think NATO would risk it all over a tactical nuke in a non-NATO country, half of the reason they're risking all this is knowing deep down they wouldn't be obliged to. The best way to bop them on the nose prior to that would be striking Ukrainian command posts where NATO staff are stationed, and striking US assets in the Middle East/West Asia.
Yeah I don’t think NATO would definitely nuke respond intentionally. I just worry that there are a lot of countries with nukes, and a lot of early warning systems of varying degrees of sophistication. If something gets misread, the timeframe in which nuclear decisions are made is tiny by design, you can imagine a scenario where with bad luck, things spiral out of control .
I realize the tactical nuclear weapons are much smaller, so maybe they’re not as risky as I’m thinking in terms of tripping early warning systems and such.