80
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 25 points 9 hours ago

I forgot all about that guy and his keys! I googled.

'I admit I was wrong': Allan Lichtman explains why his election prediction failed

  • Lichtman attributed the inaccurate prediction to factors like disdain for the Biden administration and Harris' late campaign start.

  • Despite the miss, Lichtman stands by his "13 Keys to the White House" system, emphasizing its long-term accuracy.

  • He also criticized Nate Silver's polling-based prediction model, suggesting it relied heavily on chance.

Buy my book! It will help you predict a coin flip. Perhaps wrongly but still...!

This made me laugh.

"I don't think I called any (keys) wrong," Lichtman said. "The contest key was rendered problematic by what went on by the Democratic Party but I don't think you can say I called it wrong except for in retrospect. At the time it was the more reasonable call."

I'm stealing "render problematic" and "[My logic was not wrong]" and "I don't think you can say I called it wrong except [in] retrospect".

[-] alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml 21 points 9 hours ago

They keys did not fail, America failed the keys.

[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 14 points 8 hours ago

Look, the keys are still good and it's the locks that are wrong - if your spouse throws you out of the house and changes the locks because America is shacking up with Trump.

[-] miz@hexbear.net 5 points 7 hours ago

he'll NEVER make her happy!

[-] Thallo@hexbear.net 8 points 7 hours ago

I was right until you proved me wrong

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 14 points 9 hours ago

Hey, it worked for Reagan:

My heart and my best intentions still tell me that's true. But the facts and evidence tell me it is not

[-] GrouchyGrouse@hexbear.net 10 points 7 hours ago

One of the most brazen things I ever heard. It is mind blowing that he weathered that scandal while his brain was turning into cheese

this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2024
80 points (95.5% liked)

chapotraphouse

13547 readers
593 users here now

Banned? DM Wmill to appeal.

No anti-nautilism posts. See: Eco-fascism Primer

Gossip posts go in c/gossip. Don't post low-hanging fruit here after it gets removed from c/gossip

founded 3 years ago
MODERATORS