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submitted 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Title is a reference to Resistance imagery about how Israeli soldiers will enter Gaza alive but leave it in coffins - the same is true for American soldiers in the Middle East if the regional war expands.

The image is of the Fattah-1 Iranian hypersonic ballistic missile, which its creators boast can overcome any missile defense system on the planet, has a range of 1400 kilometers (and thus Iran can strike Israel), and has a terminal impact velocity of Mach 13.


Dozens of American soldiers have been injured and 3 have been killed on a base in the Middle East. There has been confused reports about whether the attack was on Syrian territory or Jordan's - the Al-Tanf base is in Syria, but Tower-22 in Jordan is another base that helps supply Al-Tanf, and Tower-22 is the one that is alleged to have been hit. These is the first confirmed deaths of American troops since the conflict began, though it's not likely that this is actually the first deaths after hundreds of drone/missile strikes throughout the region on American bases, unless you think American soldiers are having extremely timely heart attacks just after a missile hits.

The attack is certainly impactful, though it does also have considerably symbolism. Courtesy of John Helmer:

The operational success of the strike for the attackers is strategic. Tower-22 is a logistics, supply, and rear guard post for the Al-Tanf base which US troops are operating thirty kilometres north across the border in Syria. The attack demonstrates that both Tower-22 and Al-Tanf, Jordan and Syria, are newly vulnerable to weapons which the US forces have failed to detect and neutralize. Just as significantly, the massive US airbase called Muwaffaq Salti, 230 kilometres west across Jordan, is also vulnerable now.

It indicates that Iran now possesses Russian expertise in countering American equipment:

“This is a significant accomplishment,” one of the sources said. “Was the bypassing of the US air defence system at Tower-22 pulled off with Russian assistance? US bases generally rely on the C-RAM [Counter Rocket, Artillery and Mortar] system. It was sent to Ukraine last year where the Russians have been learning to defeat it. What now of American EW [electronic warfare]? They’ve been doing a fair job of knocking drones down up to now. It seems a ‘coincidence’ that, not a week after the meetings in Moscow with Arabs and Iranians, we see this success. It’s a success the circumstances of which, we can be sure, Biden and Austin are not keen to advertise.”

I am putting my take on the table right now: I am 99% certain that the US won't attack Iran directly. I think we are still quite a while away from that being a possibility. Much more likely is that Iranian officials in Iraq or Syria will be hit by a retaliatory strike, as Israel has done recently. It is a significant escalation nonetheless. And it comes as Israel seems to be gearing up for a suicidal war with Hezbollah.


The Country of the Week is Iran! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Updates continue to be AWOL - but I am cooking something. Hopefully.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 26 points 10 months ago

Ancap Update: ancaptain

On Monday, Argentina's Federal Court suspended the repeal of the Land Law, which was included in the Decree of Necessity and Urgency signed by Javier Milei in December. Link (Spanish Only)

The measure is an injunction and can be appealed. This suspension comes after a request from ex-combatants of the Malvinas/Falklands war, who claim that allowing the indiscriminate sale of land to foreigners hurts national sovereignty.

The Federal Judge of La Plata Ernesto Kreplak granted a precautionary measure requested by the Center of Former Combatants of the Malvinas Islands La Plata (CECIM) and preventively suspended Article 154 of the Decree of Necessity and Urgency 70/2023, which repealed the Land Law.

In addition, the magistrate ordered the registration of a collective process and asked the National Executive Branch to submit the report provided for in Law 16.986 within five days as from the notification of the resolution.

"In the regulation under attack, the repeal of Law 26.737 (known as the Land Law) was invoked as a necessity, but no adequate justification was provided as to the underlying relationship that would explain how the repeal of the law would contribute to overcome the social and economic problems that the Nation is facing," Kreplak said. And he added: "It is not evident, prima facie, that the challenged state act (repeal of the law) is adequate to the purpose pursued by the state (overcoming social and economic problems) and that the means used (Decree of Necessity and Urgency) is proportionate and conducive to that purpose".

In addition, today foreigners of the same nationality may not own more than 30% of the total 15% of rural land and in no case may they own more than 1,000 hectares in the core zone and in those declared equivalent.

On the other hand, the law warns that any interposition of natural persons of Argentine nationality, or of legal persons incorporated in our country, for the purpose of configuring a figurative national ownership to infringe the provisions of this law is prohibited. "This will be considered an illicit and fraudulent simulation", states article 6 of the Law. This means, that if an Argentinean acts as a front man for a foreigner for the acquisition of land outside the law, he will have serious legal consequences.

The regulation also contemplates some exceptions. Foreigners with more than ten years of continuous and permanent residence in the country, as well as those who have Argentine children and prove that they have a continuous and permanent residence of 5 years in the country may freely acquire land.

People married or living with an Argentinean man or woman for 5 years before acquiring the rural land and who prove permanent and continuous residence can also buy freely. It is important to clarify that "continuous residence" is considered when the person is in the country for more than 9 months each year.

At the time of suspending the repeal of the Land Law, Kreplak objected to the modality used by the Government. "Finally, I will have to emphasize that prima facie, the challenged regulation would not have complied with the essential and substantial procedures for its issuance, nor does it have the opinion coming from the permanent legal advisory services," he said.

[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 26 points 9 months ago

Panama: Former President Martinelli To Serve 10 Years in Prison

The Supreme Court's Criminal Chamber rejected his appeal to annul a sentence handed down in 2023.

On Friday, the Supreme Justice Court upheld the sentence of 10 years and 6 months in prison for money laundering imposed on former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-2014).

The Second Criminal Chamber rejected a cassation appeal filed by his lawyers in a last attempt to invalidate the sentence issued in July 2023.

The confirmed sentence makes the 71-year-old politician the first former president to be convicted and sentenced to prison for corruption in the country's democratic history. It also disqualifies Martinelli from running as a presidential candidate in the May elections.

The unprecedented conviction against Martinelli in the case known as "New Business," involving the purchase of Editorial Panama America (Epasa) with public funds, also requires him to pay a fine of US$19.2 million, as stated in the 2023 sentence from the Liquidating Court of Criminal Cases, presided over by Judge Baloisa Marquinez.

This judge also ordered the dissolution of two companies, the confiscation of the editorial house's shares, and the administration of its movable and immovable assets.

In the "New Business" case, whose investigation began in 2017, four individuals were also convicted of money laundering, while 10 citizens were acquitted.

For the Epasa acquisition, US$44 million were collected in December 2010, according to the prosecution. They assert that Martinelli contacted contractors, contributed money, and benefited from the operation as the holder of 60 percent of the editorial's shares.

Martinelli also faces charges of money laundering in the Odebrecht bribery case, whose trial has been postponed several times and is expected to finally begin this year.

The text reads, "The brothers Luis Enrique and Ricardo Alberto Martinelli, sons of former Panamanian president Ricardo Martinelli, will be released on Wednesday from the Allenwood Low Prison. They were convicted in May 2022 for the Odebrecht corruption case."

In the Odebrech case, two of Martinelli's sons, who are legislators of the Central American Parliament (Parlacen), will also face a special trial.

They have already served prison time in the United States after admitting to receiving US$28 million in bribes from the Brazilian construction company and on orders from their father.

In Spain, Martinelli is being investigated in two cases: one involving corruption through bribes paid by the Spanish company FCC and another for espionage on a woman in Mallorca.

In January 2023, the United States sanctioned former President Martinelli, accusing him of being involved in "large-scale corruption."

[-] voight@hexbear.net 26 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

🔋

EV powerhouse China to set own standards for automotive semiconductors, home of Tesla rival BYD remains dependent on imports from Europe, Japan — Nikkei Asia

"China is a big country, home to Tesla rival BYD." — Charles de Gaulle

January 22, 2024

China has moved to set its own standards for semiconductors used in electric vehicles and self-driving cars as it seeks to replace imports of these vital components with domestic production.

The government has called on industry to create technological standards for more than 30 important automotive semiconductors by 2025 and more than 70 types by 2030, according to guidelines issued this month by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.

The guidelines, which were issued to trade groups on Jan. 8, seek to ensure safety and reliability by providing for performance tests of semiconductors used in finished vehicles and core systems.

An auto industry source said the government "will probably use the standard-setting process to instruct automakers to use domestically made semiconductors."

China aims to build a a homegrown semiconductor supply chain that is safe from the threat of U.S. sanctions. Semiconductors are a weak link in China's drive to become an automotive superpower by using its head start in the shift from gasoline-fueled cars to EVs.

Sales of new autos in China grew 12% in 2023 to 30.09 million vehicles, and exports reached nearly 5 million vehicles, putting China ahead of Japan as the world's top auto exporter, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. China led global growth in EVs and other new-energy vehicles last year, with a 38% increase in sales to 9.49 million vehicles. New-energy vehicles, a Chinese term, includes plug-in hybrids and fuel cell vehicles.

EVs and self-driving cars require more semiconductors than conventional autos. According to a major Chinese automaker, EVs are loaded with about 1,300 semiconductors each, compared with a little under 500 in gasoline-powered cars.

Level 4 autonomous cars, which can operate without driver input under certain conditions, have more than 3,000 semiconductors, Chinese auto industry data provider Gasgoo reports.

Germany's Infineon Technologies is the leading supplier of automotive semiconductors by market share, according to Chinese news source Jiwei. Next is NXP Semiconductors of the Netherlands, followed by Japan's Renesas Electronics.

With government encouragement, Chinese automakers are developing their own semiconductors. Zhejiang Geely Holding Group, the parent of Volvo Cars, puts proprietary semiconductors into its sport utility vehicles. Automotive semiconductor development is also a priority for leading Chinese contract chipmaker Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. (SMIC), according to a senior executive.

But China is still a long way from self-sufficiency. In power semiconductors, which regulate electric current and are vital to EV performance, domestic production meets only about 15% of China's needs, according to Gasgoo. In advanced chips -- the kind needed for autonomous driving -- Chinese production is below 5%.

China's overall self-sufficiency in automotive semiconductors is estimated at around 10%, compared with about 20% for semiconductors in general.

The number of Chinese companies developing automotive semiconductors has reached about 300, but domestic technology has not kept pace with the auto industry's needs, and China remains dependent on imports. Worldwide, the industry is led by Infineon Technologies of Germany, NXP Semiconductors of the Netherlands, Japan's Renesas Electronics and U.S. chipmaker Texas Instruments.

Many automotive semiconductors are not subject to U.S.-led export controls because they are less advanced than chips used for artificial intelligence and other high-tech defense-related applications. But China's access to foreign supplies of semiconductors for cars may yet be restricted depending on how relations with the U.S. play out.

"With the rise of trade protectionism, automotive semiconductors have become a focus of global competition," Fu Bingfeng, executive vice president of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, told a December 2023 conference on semiconductors hosted by the trade group in Wuxi.

"We can create a new automotive semiconductor industry," Fu said.

More than a year earlier, in November 2022, Miao Wei, a former industry ministry with powerful connections to the auto industry, had urged industry leaders at a meeting in Shanghai to switch all of their semiconductor procurement to domestic sources.

Chinese media have quoted Gao Xiang, a researcher involved in automobile policy, as saying that government support and other measures can make it possible to replace even extremely technically difficult semiconductors with domestic production in five to 10 years.

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[-] voight@hexbear.net 26 points 10 months ago

Apologies for the "removed external images" going forward, I'm too lazy to remove them, itworks fine on my machine (the way I view articles with Markdown, I mean), etcetera. If anything's really important I guess I'll paste it

🕴️🕴️🕴️🕴️🕴️🕴️🕴️🕴️🕴️🇰🇼🇸🇦🇮🇷

KSA, Kuwait double down on ‘exclusive ownership’ of gas field disputed with Iran — The Cradle

JAN 31, 2024

The two gulf states have called for a border demarcation agreement between the three nations to resolve the issue

(Photo credit: SPA)

Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reaffirmed their exclusive ownership of the Arash-Durra gas field in the Persian Gulf on 31 January, following a visit by Kuwait’s Emir Mishal al-Ahmad al-Jaber Al-Sabah to the kingdom.

“The entire Durra field is located in the marine areas of the State of Kuwait, and ownership of the natural resources in the divided submerged area, including the entire Durra field, is jointly owned by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the State of Kuwait only, and they alone have full rights to exploit the wealth in that region,” the joint statement reads.

The statement also extends an invitation to Iran – with whom the field is disputed – "to negotiate the eastern border of the divided submerged area with Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, as one negotiating party, and Iran as another party, in accordance with the provisions of international law."

The Durra-Arash field is located in the waters of the Persian Gulf off the coast of Kuwait and holds an estimated 20 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves.

Iran has long claimed the right to exploit part of the gas field’s wealth. In July last year, the two Gulf state’s announced exclusive ownership of the field, exacerbating longstanding tensions.

Tehran previously proposed plans for drilling and exploiting the disputed field, which Riyadh and Kuwait City rejected.

In 2022, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia signed an agreement to exclusively develop the gas field.

At the time, Iran referred to this agreement as “illegal,” claiming it violated procedures and previously held discussions on the matter.

Iran continued to assert its right to exploit the gas field and benefit from it, affirming that the boundaries of the field shared by the three countries have yet to be determined.

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[-] voight@hexbear.net 26 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

*fixed some links copied from archive.org that would not have worked

🤪🇺🇸🇬🇧🎌🇦🇺🇰🇷🇸🇰🇩🇪🇮🇹🇪🇪🇨🇾🇲🇩🇫🇷🇱🇹🇧🇬🇦🇱🇸🇮🇨🇭🇧🇪🇰🇭🇭🇷🇩🇰🇨🇿🇬🇷🇦🇿🇱🇻🇸🇪🇪🇸🇨🇦🇮🇸🇮🇪🇲🇦🇲🇪🇳🇿🇮🇱🇯🇴🇽🇰🇵🇹🇷🇴🇳🇱🇹🇷🇦🇷🇨🇴🇲🇹🇵🇱🇦🇹🇭🇺🇲🇰🇵🇰🇱🇺🇸🇪🇳🇴🇫🇮

⚔️⚔️⚔️ part ?/?

🦾🇷🇺🦾🇧🇾

BREAKTHROUGH ON ALL FRONTS AHEAD OF SCHEDULE — John Helmer

31 Jan 2024

According to a military source outside Russia, “the Russian breakthrough is beginning to happen now. It’s being coordinated with strikes and raids along the northern border. The commitment of the ‘crack’ Ukrainian brigades at the expense of other sectors shows how desperate Zaluzhny is [...]

When the General Staff have been discussing with President Vladimir Putin the timing of the Russian offensive to force the Kiev regime into capitulation, it has been agreed, understood, and repeated that the strategic reserves of the Ukrainian forces should be destroyed first, together with the supply lines for the weapons and ammunition crossing the border from the US and the NATO allies.

This process, they also agreed, should take as long as required with least casualties on the Russian side, as determined by military intelligence. Also agreed and pre-conditional, there should be no repeat of the political intelligence failures of the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) which precipitated the failed special forces operation known as the Battle of Antonov (Hostomel) Airport from February 24 to April 2, 2022.

Taking account of the mistakes made then by the SVR director, Sergei Naryshkin, and the subsequent mistakes of military officers around Yevgeny Prigozhin, the General Staff has also accepted that their tactical operations must run least risk of Russian casualties through March 17, the final day of the presidential election.

Reinforcing these preconditions for the timing of the Russian offensive, General Winter and General Patience have joined the Stavka meetings.

This week military sources believe there has been a turning point – on the Ukrainian battlefield, and on the Russian clock.

The daily Defense Ministry briefing and bulletin from Moscow reported last Thursday, before the Friday weekly summary, that the Ukrainian KIA (killed in action) for the previous twenty-four hours totaled 795, with the ratio of offensive tactics to defence, 3 to 3. On Monday, the KIA total was 680, the ratio 4 to 3. On Tuesday, KIA came to 885, the ratio 5 to 1. The casualty rate is unusually high; the shift to offence is recognizably new, if not announced.

The “Stavka Project”, a military briefing which is broadcast by Vladimir Soloviev, confirms the positional breakthroughs this week on several of the fronts or “directions”, as the Defense Ministry calls them, along the Donbass line; click to watch (in Russian).

In Boris Rozhin’s summary of the Defense Ministry briefing materials, published before dawn on Wednesday morning, the leading Russian military blogger (Colonel Cassad) identifies “small advances”, “slight movements”, some positional “successes”, other positional “counter-fighting”, and “no significant progress yet”. The adverb is military talk for timing.

According to a military source outside Russia, “the Russian breakthrough is beginning to happen now. It’s being coordinated with strikes and raids along the northern border. The commitment of the ‘crack’ Ukrainian brigades at the expense of other sectors shows how desperate [General Valery] Zaluzhny is to plug the holes. He knows that the target is the isolation of Kharkov, the establishment of a demilitarized ‘buffer zone’, as well as the development of a situation whereby all Ukrainian forces east of the Dnieper are threatened with being cut off… and he’s quickly running out of ammunition, not to mention cannon fodder.”

“By the end of the winter,” the source has added overnight, “the Ukrainians will barely be able to move along the roads they use to feed the front due to the Russian drone, missile, conventional air, and artillery strikes. Once they can no longer plug the gaps with mechanized units acting as fire-fighting brigades, it’s just a matter of time before the big breakthroughs and encirclements begin. At the current burn rate of Ukrainian forces, I imagine we’ll start seeing Russian tanks with fuel tanks fitted for extended range appearing and Russian airborne troops making air assaults in the Ukrainian rear within weeks.”

In yesterday’s edition of the Moscow security analysis platform Vzglyad, Yevgeny Krutikov, a leading Russian military analyst with GRU service himself and GRU sources for his reporting since, published a report entitled “What does the offensive of Russian troops in the Kharkov region mean?” “Russia is creating a new strategic situation in the Kharkov region,” Krutikov concluded, “threatening to dismember the Ukrainian defence up to the Donetsk agglomeration.” A verbatim English translation of this piece follows.

Source: [https://vz.ru/](https://web.archive.org/web/20240131115403/https://vz.ru/society/2024/1/29/1250838.html)

January 29, 2024 – 19:10.

What does the offensive of Russian troops in the Kharkov region mean?
By Yevgeny Krutikov

“The settlement of Tabayevka in the Kharkov region has been liberated,” the Russian Defense Ministry says. We are not just facing the capture of a village: Russian troops are now hacking into the contact lines, which have not budged for a year. Russia is creating a new strategic situation in the Kharkov region, threatening to dismember the Ukrainian defence up to the Donetsk agglomeration.

First, Krakhmalnoye, then Tabayevka – Russian troops have advanced in the Svatovo direction (Kharkov region), pushing the enemy to a new line of defence (to the village of Peschanoye). Slightly to the north, already close to Kupyansk, the enemy’s positions are also gradually moving to the west and southwest.

Along the way, forests are being cleared, which the VSU [Ukrainian Armed Forces] is turning into fortified areas, even giving them names (“Alligator” and “Woodpecker”). The enemy is losing the old lines of trenches, the first line of contact has been destroyed. Something similar is happening directly near Kupyansk, but there the advanced fortified lines in Sinkovka are being held still by the VSU, though the positions on the flanks have gradually begun to sink.

At first glance, we are looking at isolated episodes of positional warfare, since the big, iconic and recognizable geographical names do not appear in the information releases. But this is not quite true.

Firstly, even in this scenario as published so far, strategic threats arise for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, for example, in the possible drive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to the Oskol River which has far-reaching prospects. Notwithstanding, it is still impossible to predict when this will become possible in practice.

Secondly, the enemy has been demonstrating a systemic defence crisis in the Kupyansk direction during the past week. The defence of Kupyansk has been under construction by the Armed Forces of Ukraine since the spring of last year, when the decision was made in Kiev on a ‘counteroffensive’ in the southern direction. New brigades with western armoured vehicles were sent to the southern section of the contact line, and Kupyansk and the area around it were designated for defence with the rest of their forces.

Part 2️⃣ in reply

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[-] Dolores@hexbear.net 25 points 10 months ago

so i guess that ISS movie is out now? on a scale of 'murder all russians' to 'maybe war is bad' where does it fall? weirdly aside from seeing the trailer once i ain't heard a peep about it

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this post was submitted on 29 Jan 2024
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