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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is here.


One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.

Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 52 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

In US electoral politics News, a new IPSOS poll has dropped. IPSOS polls are some of the most credible and unbiased globally, they were quite accurate in the recent South African elections and correctly predicted that Jacob Zuma's MK party would take a large share of the EFF vote.

Trump and Harris are locked in a tight race weeks before the election, ABC News/IPSOS polling, 13 October 2024

Washington, D.C., October 13, 2024— New ABC News/Ipsos polling finds Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are locked in a statistical tie among likely voters. However, among all Americans, Trump outperforms Harris on key issues, like the economy, inflation, and immigration, while Harris maintains her advantage on abortion and protecting American democracy. The majority of Americans support many of the economic policies that Harris and Trump have proposed. Lowering corporate income taxes is the only policy that a majority of Americans oppose.

Interesting notes: Harris only has an advantage on abortion, protecting democracy and looking out for middle class interests. Trump has an advantage on every other issue, and his largest advantage on immigration. Harris has her lowest positive on the conflict in the middle east, and the highest amount of neither votes is also there. Harris' largest advantage is on abortion, which is the largest advantage of all the issues.

[-] plinky@hexbear.net 41 points 2 days ago

The fuck is protecting democracy, its literal drivel. Yes, i support democracy in that 12 randomly selected people should be able to throw bill gates into the lion pit, no i dont support democracy in which i select between two genocidal hyenas

[-] VILenin@hexbear.net 32 points 2 days ago

Liberals operate on an incoherent belief soup and vibes, no thinking required

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[-] SevenSkalls@hexbear.net 32 points 2 days ago

Trump has the advantage on immigration? I hate America. They've done the same things materially, but his rhetoric is more racist and openly fascist about it, so of course he gets the points for that from the USAsian public 🙄

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 28 points 2 days ago

Immigration is Trump's biggest net positive issue, it's the area he has the largest advantage in actually, 10 percentage points up on Harris, 46% for Trump vs 36% for Harris. As a non American, I think it worked out this way: when the voters are faced with the choice between Harris imitating Trump 2016 rhetoric, or the real deal in Trump himself, they prefer the real deal over the imitation. It's why I feel the Democrat's pivot to the right is a poor strategy. Look at all of Harris' best issues according to the poll: abortion, democracy and protecting the middle class. These are all issues where she has not shifted rightwards. On all of her weak issues, it's where she's shifted right or tried to imitate Trump.

[-] MalarchoBidenism@hexbear.net 13 points 2 days ago

He's also "better at the economy" because every republican is just inherently "better at the economy", whatever that means.

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[-] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 26 points 2 days ago

It's a shame they couldn't break it down by swing states because that's the only thing that matters in the end. It sounds like she's going to lose Michigan based on how little trust people place her in the conflict.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 23 points 2 days ago

It's really not looking good for the Harris campaign nationally or on swing states from what I've seen. If she's in a statistical tie with Trump nationally, and with the Electoral College along with swing states tending to favour Republicans, it paints a poor picture.

[-] LargePenis@hexbear.net 63 points 2 days ago

مَتَىٰ نَصْرُ اللَّهِ أَلَا إِنَّ نَصْرَ اللَّهِ قَرِيبٌ

“When does victory from Allah (come)?” Verily, victory from Allah is surely near.

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[-] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 73 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Ahahahaha fuck you occupiers, maybe if you stopped colonizing you wouldn’t have to worry about being blown up at dinner. Dozens of casualties with multiple confirmed deaths at a base south of Haifa.

~~Just a telegram rumor, but apparently Herzl Halevi may have been killed in the attack~~

Hezb statement

🟡| Statement issued by Hezbollah’s Operations Room:

  • We had previously warned that the Israeli enemy's continued aggression against our noble people in all parts of resilient Lebanon would make Haifa and beyond, for the resistance's missiles and drones, equivalent to Kiryat Shmona, Metula, and other border settlements with Lebanon. We accompanied this warning with information gathered by our drones, "Al-Hudhud," regarding "sensitive" Israeli military targets and "vital" Israeli facilities in occupied Palestine, especially in the occupied city of Haifa. We also assured this enemy that the Islamic Resistance sees and hears where they do not expect.

  • The Israeli enemy wagered that the Islamic Resistance would not be able to carry out its threat after their despicable security operations and the assassination of our honored leaders, foremost among them our most revered martyr, His Eminence, Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah (may his soul rest in peace). Ignoring our warnings, they continued their aggression against our noble people and committed the most heinous massacres against women and children, particularly in Beirut and the southern suburbs.

  • In response to all of this, the decision of the Islamic Resistance leadership was to discipline this enemy and show a fraction of what it is capable of, at any time and place of its choosing, whether secretly or openly. The target was one of the training camps of the elite Golani Brigade in Binyamina, south of occupied Haifa, a location unknown to many settlers.

  • In a sophisticated and complex operation, the Islamic Resistance's missile forces launched dozens of rockets towards various targets in the areas of Nahariya and Akka to engage the Israeli air defense systems. Simultaneously, the Islamic Resistance's air force launched swarms of various drones, some of which were used for the first time, towards different areas in Akka and Haifa. These advanced drones successfully penetrated the Israeli air defense radars without detection and reached their target at the training camp of the elite Golani Brigade in Binyamina, south of occupied Haifa. They exploded in rooms where dozens of Israeli officers and soldiers were gathered, preparing to participate in the aggression against Lebanon, including senior officers, resulting in many casualties.

  • The Islamic Resistance pledges to the most honorable and pure people that it will remain their protective shield and will not allow this cowardly enemy to isolate them. It renews its promise to its most revered martyr that it will continue to defend the beloved land of Lebanon according to the field plans that were personally overseen by him and the martyred leaders. The enemy is warned that what they witnessed today in southern Haifa is only a glimpse of what awaits them if they decide to continue their aggression against our proud and noble people.

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[-] companero@hexbear.net 79 points 3 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

https://t.me/intelslava/68356 (plenty of videos)

Several MEDEVAC Helicopters and Ambulances are at the Site of the Drone Impact in Binyamina, which is believed to have Directly Struck a Dining Facility being used by Israeli Soldiers.

At least ~~20~~ ~~40~~ 67 casualties hamas-red-triangle

[-] Parzivus@hexbear.net 47 points 2 days ago

The warning sirens didn't even go off. Not even a paper dome at this point

[-] SoyViking@hexbear.net 49 points 3 days ago

Rivers of cum will flow tonight

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[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 9 points 2 days ago
[-] plinky@hexbear.net 38 points 2 days ago

Fucking sovereign citizen vem miller, what is even us of a? meow-tableflip

[-] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 51 points 2 days ago

That watermelon seller is up to no good:
https://xcancel.com/MiddleEastIndex/status/1845474111817974038

Head of Turkish TRT media agency says TRT will soon start a Farsi propaganda channel soon.

He then says: “We must disturb Iran. We must absolutely disturb Iran.”

[-] Aru@lemmygrad.ml 32 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

All the fucking yapping about "fighting israel" why don't they start a hebrew propaganda channel huh? rabid dog who barks at foe and bites friends.

[-] plinky@hexbear.net 37 points 2 days ago

Decided to make a return to #beanwatch:

Coffee returned to literally same place when i reported first time on it, no sudden beanis excellence.

Cocoa still expensive though.

P.S. (also oil doesn't believe in iran's courage)

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 74 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

If you think about it, the US believes that they live in a Dark Forest universe. They truly believe that they have to annihilate their opponents before these emerging states/powers surpass their own technologically and escape their sphere of influence.

I am seriously starting to believe that this is the reason Obama likes the Three Body Problem series so much, while taking the wrong lessons from the books, which was a cautionary tale about how the most “rational” belief of destroying your opponents before they have the capacity to do it against you may let you overpower them in the short run, but ultimately lead to the mutually assured destruction of our world. It emphasized that a bit of irrationality, naivety and delusional about our opponents are sometimes needed to put a stop into this chain of madness.

We’ve been very lucky that Putin, who is in control of thousands of nukes enough to blow up the world several times, does not see the world in the same Dark Forest state as the US does. Putin is naive and even delusional about a rapprochement with an imperialist West for years, and yet it was exactly this attitude that kept the peace for as long as we have (even with the war in Ukraine, there is a lot of restraint from escalating further).

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[-] refolde@hexbear.net 66 points 3 days ago

Israel deserves to have the most evil villains based off of them in every piece of fiction imaginable, but audiences will probably criticize it for being too "cartoonishly and unrealistically evil"

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[-] anaesidemus@hexbear.net 36 points 2 days ago
[-] sewer_rat_420@hexbear.net 53 points 2 days ago

US deploys a THAAD battery to aid in the defense of Israel:

https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3934493/statement-by-pentagon-press-secretary-maj-gen-pat-ryder-on-the-deployment-of-a/

At the direction of the President, Secretary Austin authorized the deployment of a Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) battery and associated crew of U.S. military personnel to Israel to help bolster Israel's air defenses following Iran's unprecedented attacks against Israel on April 13 and again on October 1. The THAAD Battery will augment Israel's integrated air defense system. This action underscores the United States' ironclad commitment to the defense of Israel, and to defend Americans in Israel, from any further ballistic missile attacks by Iran. It is part of the broader adjustments the U.S. military has made in recent months, to support the defense of Israel and protect Americans from attacks by Iran and Iranian-aligned militias.

Hopefully, whatever new technology Iran has been teasing accounts for this - it isnt the first time US has deployed THAAD to Israel.

[-] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 39 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

I heard via Al Jazeera live stream that Each THAAD needs a trained crew of 96 personel, in this case, Americans, to work. So Bibi and fellow Zionazi DaBiden effectively drew American military members into this war and thus the wider war to save his ass from a corruption trial.

Making these Americans legit military targets. If they die, they would have died not for America or the defense of the homeland, but for the ego and vanity of a corrupt as fuck fascist.

[-] ziggurter@hexbear.net 32 points 2 days ago

If they die, they would have died not for America or the defense of the homeland, but for the ego and vanity of a corrupt as fuck fascist.

same-picture

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[-] Aru@lemmygrad.ml 45 points 2 days ago

President of India is in Algeria now, staying here for 4 days, no idea why

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[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 83 points 3 days ago

Israel is going full extermination in northern gaza, and I fear they will succeed, specially while the attention is on Lebanon and the possible attack against Iran.

Israel is exterminating northern Gaza right now.

There are 400,000 Palestinians there being deliberately starved, with nowhere to go, trapped inside a killing field. There’s no outrage or wall-to-wall media coverage because Israel is the one doing it and the victims are Arab.

https://nitter.poast.org/AssalRad/status/1845272101516869980

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[-] Sasuke@hexbear.net 58 points 3 days ago

Palestinian Authority to attend BRICS summit, apply for membership (The Cradle, Aug 26, 2024)

Palestine’s ambassador in Moscow, Abdel Hafeez Nofal, said on 26 August that Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas had received an invitation from President Vladimir Putin to attend the upcoming BRICS summit.

“We received an invitation from President Putin to President Abbas, and he was invited to participate in the BRICS summit prior to the invitation [to visit Russia] … but we will see if the prime minister will participate,” Nofal said. “The most important thing is that we [Palestinian representatives] will participate in this event,” he added.

The ambassador said Abbas and Putin have a good relationship with one another and can meet at any time.

“After our first participation in the BRICS summit, we will send a request to join this association,” Nofal revealed.

He also said that Putin promised Abbas that the upcoming BRICS summit in the Russian city of Kazan, scheduled for October 2024, will include a session dedicated primarily to Palestine.

Old article, but with the BRICS summit in Russia approaching (22–24 Oct), I need to hear what (if anything) my fellow newsmega heads expect will come from this.

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[-] Flaps@hexbear.net 69 points 3 days ago

Local elections in Belgium and in its biggest Flemish city, Antwerp, it is a neck to neck mayoral race between the ruling Flemish nationalist Party and the openly ML workers party. Gonna be real here and assume we are not going to be the winners, but the fact that one of our biggest cities, with one of the major ports of Europe, came this close to a red mayor is noticable in and of itself.

The campain the nationalists set up was fucking dumb tho. Going all in on the European tradition of xenophobia, islamophobia more specifically. "They go and get their votes at mosques! They praise the Taliban!". Our sitting mayor also said that the workers' party's position that headscarfs and other religious symbols should be allowed in public positions is 'apartheid' (all while being a vocal supporter of the zionist entity)!

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[-] Sasuke@hexbear.net 69 points 3 days ago

From UNIFIL on X, posted a few minutes ago after the IOF attacked them:

Despite putting on protective masks, fifteen peacekeepers suffered effects, including skin irritation and gastrointestinal reactions, after the smoke entered the camp. The peacekeepers are receiving treatment.

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[-] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 44 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

I got my first dose of 3 HPV vaccines a couple weeks ago. Body tolerated it well. Little soreness at the injection site for a few days. Got the insurance statement for it. Holy shit! I mean they covered it, but absolutely ridiculous how much they gouge. $60 to poke me and $500 for the shot itself.

They say 95% of insurance carriers cover it. So I would recommend everyone not allergic to get it. Basically a broad cancer vaccine. Totally not every thing but like half a dozen common viruses that are known to cause cancer - yes please.

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[-] Parsani@hexbear.net 37 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)
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[-] Parsani@hexbear.net 34 points 2 days ago

China’s real intent behind its stimulus inflection

https://www.ft.com/content/008443cd-bb44-4b4f-b60e-17894fdba221

textChinese equity markets have had a wild ride. Major indices surged by more than 30 per cent in the two weeks following Beijing’s September 24 economic stimulus announcement. They then fell back on fears that the stimulus might fall short.

Most likely, the markets will regain momentum once the Ministry of Finance reveals details of new fiscal spending at a press briefing on Saturday. Which sentiment is closer to the truth: euphoria or despair?

The answer is, neither. Markets were right to see the stimulus announcement as an inflection point and an opportunity to venture back into oversold Chinese assets. But they misjudged the underlying intent, which is to stabilise the economy rather than generate a major reacceleration. And they underestimated the constraints on stimulus imposed by Xi Jinping’s long-run strategy and by policymakers’ desire not to repeat past errors.

Xi’s strategic aims have not changed. He wants to shift capital from the property sector into technology-intensive manufacturing, which he sees as the basis of China’s future prosperity and power. Long-term economic growth, he believes, is driven by investment in technology, which will eventually generate high-wage jobs and rising incomes. China’s core task is not to maximise GDP growth but to create a self-sufficient, technologically powerful economy immune to efforts by the US to stunt its rise.

This programme is cogent as a national strategy, but unfriendly to financial investors. The emphasis on investment means that supply will always run ahead of demand, leading to deflationary pressure, which is bad for corporate profits. Even the favoured high-tech sectors face intense competition that will erode margins.

Xi has not retreated from this vision, but has accepted a change of tactics. The stimulus decision was driven by poor economic data including a sharp deterioration in manufacturing sales and employment, a chorus of criticism from Chinese economists, and the rising risk of protectionism against China’s exports. Short-run stabilisation is needed in order for the long-run plan to succeed. But measures will be rolled out carefully to avoid what policymakers believe were damaging mistakes in previous stimulus episodes.

One such “mistake” was the big infrastructure programme of 2008-09, which helped China recover quickly from the global financial crisis, but also began the pile-up of local-government debt, which rose from almost nothing 15 years ago to nearly 80 per cent of GDP today, including the liabilities of off-balance sheet financing vehicles. Another was Beijing’s cheerleading of a stock market bubble in 2015, which saw the CSI 300 double in a little over six months and then give up almost all its gains in two months.

Xi’s government is now determined not to overstimulate the real economy, nor to inflate another stock market bubble. The economic aims are to stabilise growth and prevent deflation from tightening its grip. The market goal is to restore enough confidence so that equity prices post steady, moderate rises. This will reopen the window for new listings and enable the stock market to resume its assigned role of financing China’s industrial policy ambitions.

This could work: Chinese policymakers have many tools, and Xi is finally allowing them to be used. But there is no evidence of a shift from the key policies undergirding Xi’s long-term vision: central control of finance and capital allocation, a tight rein on the property market, and prioritisation of investment over consumption.

Direct fiscal stimulus through the issuance of ultra long-term government bonds, if large enough, should boost growth and ward off deflation. But this new debt will refinance some local debt and subsidise households and businesses to trade in old appliances and equipment for new. Its function is to make investment more effective, not to give consumer demand a bigger role.

Similarly, the recapitalisation of the six largest state-owned banks will let them take on more risk despite record-low net interest margins. Yet it will also further entrench central control over the financial system and the allocation of capital. Mortgage deregulation will make it easier for cash-strapped families to buy houses, but does not reverse the basic decision to reduce property’s economic role.

In sum, the economy and financial returns are likely to pick up in the coming months. In the long run, though, China’s vision is unchanged: technology and self-sufficiency matter more than growth and profits.

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this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2024
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