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I’m Absolutely Sure America Is About to Get Exactly What It Wants
(www.esquire.com)
Unpopular Opinion: Trump represents a demographic transition in the U.S. as the old people go into retirement new young people emerge. The retiring and now dying people had the following properties:
- did not use social media, reads popular newspapers
- extrovert, wanted to dominate international institutions and create new international rules
- pro free markets, wanted to achieve global systems dominance, containment of enemies (Soviet Union)
- unionized working class (example: Boeing employee)
- majority Protestant, Catholic or Mormon
Meanwhile Peter Thiel, Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy and other Silicon Valley emperors captured a new demographic:
- uses social media, isolated in select bubbles
- introvert, isolationist
- pro tariffs, local markets, walls as a symbolic and total solution to societies openness, what I would describe as "self containment protectionism"
- not in a union, does not even dream of a union. (example: Fruit picker in Florida/Texas)
- Catholic, majority is atheist now
This might represent the final shift away from the old cold war era to a new war(?) era. To my understanding South America is majority introvert conservative catholic in its foreign policy and North america is (was) majority extrovert unionized protestant in its foreign policy. And now North America starts to look more like an isolationist version of Argentinia or Brazil to me with heavy protestant tones (think of Milei of Argentinia or Bolsonaro of Brazil, who are ironically more protestant than catholic in their support base). I am not american so proudly correct me where I am totally wrong in my analysis.
