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submitted 1 year ago by yogthos@lemmygrad.ml to c/news@hexbear.net
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[-] glimmer_twin@hexbear.net 92 points 1 year ago

Sometimes I wish the housing market would finally crash, then I remember it won’t make my rent go down, it’ll just destroy everyone’s retirement funds

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 57 points 1 year ago

It'll also all just get bought up by private equity.

[-] DragonBallZinn@hexbear.net 9 points 1 year ago

“Become a landlord” is going to become the next “learn to code” isn’t it?

[-] PolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

It always was, and i mean even way before the capitalism and coding. Even in ancient Rome the richest man was actually a slumlord.

[-] somename@hexbear.net 76 points 1 year ago

Not my Capitalism. No Bust, only Boom.

only-throw

[-] DragonBallZinn@hexbear.net 49 points 1 year ago

porky-happy: “Oh no no no. It’s boom for me, but bust for you! I’m sure you poors don’t MIND being poorer, after all!”

The original meaning of the word "proletariat" was "those who only have their offspring", oh but porky gonna take that too and squeeze their last drop of blood into the profitgrinder.

[-] SuperZutsuki@hexbear.net 24 points 1 year ago

Okay...you asked for it cool-zone

[-] SuperZutsuki@hexbear.net 63 points 1 year ago

It needs to hurry up and pop already. Looking forward to more Mario brother action.

[-] peeonyou@hexbear.net 57 points 1 year ago

I really like Ben Norton. He's one of the few people I support on Patreon because he's just so damned informative.

[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 42 points 1 year ago

yeah, he does excellent analysis

[-] SkingradGuard@hexbear.net 55 points 1 year ago

Hell yeah, the last burst caused China to accelerate it's development

[-] ShimmeringKoi@hexbear.net 19 points 1 year ago

Maybe I should invest in China sooner rather than later...

[-] blunder@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago

I feel like people have been saying this since 2016

[-] SupFBI@hexbear.net 88 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The Fed keeps pumping money in to prevent a crash. In doing so, they have been priming the economy for a depression era type crash, but they don't know what else to do. You can thank Obama. He could have bailed every day Americans out, and reset the economy in the process. But no, he saved his banking friends.

[-] Hohsia@hexbear.net 33 points 1 year ago

If the fed keeps pumping money in to prevent a crash, what’s to say they aren’t going to continue to do that?

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 42 points 1 year ago

As I understand it, quantitative easing is supposed to be viewed as an emergency measure that states use for temporary relief when the markets go into the negative to avoid everything spiraling into a recession. The US is just using QE all the time as a base stimulus, which means they can't use it in an emergency.

[-] SupFBI@hexbear.net 29 points 1 year ago

Yup. QE and also loaning tons of money to banks to prevent runs and failures. Stuff that doesn't get talked about much in MSM.

[-] WhatDoYouMeanPodcast@hexbear.net 44 points 1 year ago

Imagine a burger:

"Hey Bank-chan, I have this idea for a restaurant that sells balloon animals. I think I'm going to charge $12 for a burger+balloon combo. Can I have 30,000,000 of the new money to do it?"

"Sure, Slimeball-kun. Here you go!"

Nobody has enough money to buy stupid borger

"Hey Bank-chan, I'm declaring bankrupcy. you're only getting $2,000,000 back on the investment"

"But you and 99999 other people were supposed to make me profit!"

Local news: "Your local bank is freaking out"

"Oh holy shit, get my money out of that bank!" x9,999,999

"Omg I don't have enough money if 9999999 people withdraw their savings"

bank run

bank collapses

nobody can make any businesses

feds try to step in... again

Only this time nobody wants to buy the dogshit bonds because BRICS is trying to divest. B&RI is using USD as toilet paper

"Idk, maybe raise taxes 88% on the lowest 25% of Americans?" - Elon Mu$$k

lowest 25%-sama can't afford food

also that real estate bubble that was giga overdue happens because of the week-decade thing

cool zone begins

Meanwhile China enjoys a functioning, self-sufficient economy because they are capable of doing anything

I imagine it's something like that.

[-] SuperZutsuki@hexbear.net 29 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The only way out (other than compete collapse) is going back to 1940s taxes where the rich were paying 90% after a certain threshold and, uhh, gestures broadly at the state of US politics

[-] WhatDoYouMeanPodcast@hexbear.net 29 points 1 year ago

Barely. Even if the US met its spending through gigataxes, the taxes would go towards genociding teenagers, chauvinistic enforcement of the petrodollar, corporate buybacks, R&D on planned obsolescence, political ads, and recruiting troops.

I can think of a third, much more sinister way our of a capitalist pinch specter

[-] SuperZutsuki@hexbear.net 14 points 1 year ago

That would have to come after complete collapse. There's no left movement in the US that could overthrow the government.

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[-] SuperZutsuki@hexbear.net 23 points 1 year ago

Yep, we've essentially been in emergency mode for years now

[-] aspensmonster@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 1 year ago

As I understand it, quantitative easing is supposed to be viewed as an emergency measure that states use for temporary relief when the markets go into the negative to avoid everything spiraling into a recession. The US is just using QE all the time as a base stimulus, which means they can’t use it in an emergency.

Well, they raised interest rates throughout 2022 until basically the end of 2023, where it topped out at 5.33. It's dipped about a percentage point now, to 4.48 [1]. So there is some room to keep playing the QE game, in theory. Granted, QE and the FFER aren't a causal relation here; just a correlation. Lots of folks thought that near-zero or zero interest rate policy would kill the dollar back in the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, but so far, the dollar is still around. Maybe additional QE would kill the dollar. Maybe it won't make a difference. I honestly don't know enough to have an educated guess.

[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS

[-] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 17 points 1 year ago

So I want to clear something up, the Fed is not and has not done quantitative easing for years (since 2022). Right now they're actually doing quantitative tightening.

[-] SupFBI@hexbear.net 16 points 1 year ago

Events outside of their control.

[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 55 points 1 year ago

It's kind of a game of hot potato. Nobody wants to be stuck with the big crash, so they use whatever tools they have to kick it down the road so it becomes a problem for the next admin. Thing is that you can't keep doing that indefinitely because the fundamentals continue to deteriorate. All that accomplishes is to ensure that the crash will be bigger and more profound when it hits.

[-] SkingradGuard@hexbear.net 11 points 1 year ago

Honestly it would be pretty funny if it does crash under Trump because he's supposed to be the epic "knows how the economy works because businessman" president for chuds, but they'll probably blame it on Biden's policies or whatever

[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 1 year ago

To be fair, they're not going to be wrong exactly. :)

[-] Wolfman86@hexbear.net 48 points 1 year ago

We never recovered from 2008, I’d say.

[-] DragonBallZinn@hexbear.net 64 points 1 year ago

2008 never ended economically and 2016 never ended culturally.

[-] Wolfman86@hexbear.net 30 points 1 year ago

That’s an interesting way of saying it that I’ve never considered, or heard before.

[-] imogen_underscore@hexbear.net 20 points 1 year ago

yep same story in Europe the "recovery" never happened just pure stagnation since then of shit that actually matters to normal people like real wages

[-] Wolfman86@hexbear.net 5 points 1 year ago

Yet people point at how well the stock market is doing and say “the economy is very healthy”. It’s infuriating.

I think that minimum wage is going to become the national average…given the rate it is increasing in the U.K., but other roles wages isn’t.

[-] ComradeRat@hexbear.net 28 points 1 year ago

and the bubble's been getting bigger the whole 9 years

[-] Homer_Simpson@hexbear.net 17 points 1 year ago

People have been saying this for your entire lifetime.

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[-] pinguinu@lemmygrad.ml 48 points 1 year ago
[-] Acute_Engles@hexbear.net 46 points 1 year ago

newsflash-asshole

The economy has been at risk the entire time that's why they've been averting crisis after crisis for the past 15 years

[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 28 points 1 year ago

I mean there was a crash when the pandemic started, it just wasn't as severe as 2008.

[-] Acute_Engles@hexbear.net 14 points 1 year ago
[-] doingthestuff@lemy.lol 32 points 1 year ago

I make less than I did 20 years ago. The economy is already fucked.

[-] DogPeePoo@lemm.ee 32 points 1 year ago

The Fed prints money. The wealthy get tax cuts and skate on taxes through low interest stock collateral loans and scams like fully forgiven PPP loans.

Wages remain perpetually stagnant for decades while inflation runs rampant, leaving the plebeians to pick up the tab for the Plutocracy/Kleptocracy.

[-] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 26 points 1 year ago
[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 16 points 1 year ago

lmao totally a thing you do when there's nothing to worry about

[-] EndMilkInCrisps@hexbear.net 26 points 1 year ago
[-] OrionsMask@hexbear.net 21 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I don't pretend to be an expert but am I wrong in my understanding that when the crash happens, it'll ripple all across the world because of how tied to the dollar the entire world is? That's basically what happened in 08, no?

The real question I'm asking is: is there anywhere in the world to put money where it'll be safe or at least less affected, to mitigate the inevitable crash?

[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 25 points 1 year ago

That will definitely be happening, and countries that rely heavily on trade with US will end up being dragged down with them. In general, I expect that BRICS countries will be better off while G7 ones will be worse off.

Amusingly, Russia might be the one country that's best prepared for this because of the forced decoupling with the west. China has also been working on creating a dual circulation economy. The strategy focuses on domestic market, or internal circulation, to adapt to an unstable international trade environment. https://chinapower.csis.org/china-covid-dual-circulation-economic-strategy/

[-] gladflag@lemmy.ml 6 points 1 year ago

Housing I’d guess.

[-] ShimmeringKoi@hexbear.net 18 points 1 year ago
[-] Infamousblt@hexbear.net 17 points 1 year ago

Pop pop pop pop

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this post was submitted on 04 Jan 2025
131 points (97.8% liked)

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