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[-] AbsoluteChicagoDog@lemm.ee 9 points 10 hours ago

Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide, large enough to cause localized devastation near the impact site. The asteroid responsible for the Tunguska event of 1908, which leveled some 500 square miles (1,287 square kilometers) of forest in remote Siberia, was probably about the same size.

So nothing to worry about

[-] Xavienth@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago)

Sarcasm?

Idk about you but if it levels 1287 km² of forest, I don't think that would exactly be good news for a populated area. On the upper range, it could be equivalent to a 40 megatonne bomb.

Provided it enters in a similarly uninhabited location.

[-] Etterra@discuss.online 17 points 13 hours ago

I'm team asteroid.

[-] cazssiew@lemmy.world 18 points 13 hours ago
[-] Majorllama@lemmy.world 5 points 11 hours ago

Which direction do I need to fart to up those numbers?

[-] Thcdenton@lemmy.world 16 points 14 hours ago
[-] Uranus_Hz@lemm.ee 6 points 12 hours ago

Those are rookie numbers. Gotta pump those numbers up.

[-] DarkFuture@lemmy.world 16 points 15 hours ago

Panic?

I'm crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We're awful.

[-] floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com 9 points 15 hours ago

Worry not, for we are insignificant to the universe.

[-] Zacryon@feddit.org 4 points 14 hours ago
[-] Zetta@mander.xyz 2 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

Forever, humanity could only ever conceivably expand so far due to the expansion of the universe, so as far as we know a still insignificant portion of the universe we could colonize.

[-] pjwestin@lemmy.world 13 points 17 hours ago

That's 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope...

[-] psud@aussie.zone 3 points 11 hours ago

One of the things they're doing is calculating what it's orbit would have to be to hit the Earth, and where it would have had to have been on its last orbit to be in that orbit

So they can look at any astronomical images of that part of the sky from then and see if it's in the right place

If they find images of the right part of the sky at the right time and the asteroid is not in it, they know it's not on an orbit that will hit the Earth in 2032

[-] xor@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 16 hours ago

don’t worry, it’ll just be like a small nuke, not a planet killer… (until they update the size estimates)

[-] Cform@lemmy.world 33 points 21 hours ago
[-] Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world 65 points 1 day ago

Better late than never I guess.

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[-] Coreidan@lemmy.world 17 points 23 hours ago

I’ll only panic if it misses

[-] HappyStarDiaz@real.lemmy.fan 7 points 19 hours ago

Is there any way to speed this up

[-] MrTrono@lemmy.world 85 points 1 day ago

Am I supposed to panic because it's unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I'm out here wishing for death by meteor.

[-] LouNeko@lemmy.world 22 points 1 day ago

Yeah I'll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I'm gonna try to punch it back into orbit.

You don't have to thank me.

[-] joelfromaus@aussie.zone 2 points 10 hours ago

Honestly, at this point, there might be enough of us volunteering to bounce that fucker back to Jupiter. A lot of us will be turned into jam but I think it’s worth the sacrifice.

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[-] InFerNo@lemmy.ml 4 points 18 hours ago

If we are able to nudge an asteroid, would an asteroid of this size nudge the earth?

[-] threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works 7 points 17 hours ago

Technically the solar system is a multi-body system, and everything nudges everything else, but the mass of the earth is far greater than the mass of the asteroid, to the point that it doesn't matter.

[-] Yawweee877h444@lemmy.world 4 points 18 hours ago

Sigh. Why can't it be 109%

This place sucks.

[-] psud@aussie.zone 3 points 11 hours ago

It's not big enough to fix anything. If it hits, it won't hit America or Europe

It's in the big nuke scale of energy, enough to do a lot of damage to a small area. Were it to hit a city, the city would need a lot of rebuilding. Were it to hit, few people would be in danger as we will have years of warning. The only people in the impact area would be "storm chasers" travelling to see the impact

[-] HorikBrun@kbin.earth 47 points 1 day ago

Panic?!

You mean throw a welcome party?

[-] shadowedcross@sh.itjust.works 2 points 16 hours ago
[-] parpol@programming.dev 37 points 1 day ago

To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let's hope it isn't anywhere with permafrost.

[-] taiyang@lemmy.world 22 points 1 day ago

Aw, you think we'll still have permafrost by then.

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[-] vga@sopuli.xyz 14 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Can we launch a satellite at it, perhaps detonate a huge nuke on it to make that chance higher?

Wait, we could just detonate all those huge nukes here right now. Show that stupid asteroid.

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[-] solsangraal@lemmy.zip 30 points 1 day ago

i don't like those odds. anything we can do to bump it up to around 75%-100%?

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[-] GrumpyDuckling@sh.itjust.works 1 points 15 hours ago

I wonder if the "important" people know the chances are higher, so they're going for broke in order to build their escape ship.

[-] casmael@lemm.ee 8 points 1 day ago

Okay so how big is this meteor then

[-] psud@aussie.zone 1 points 10 hours ago

Were it to hit it would hit like a large nuke

[-] GooberEar@lemmy.wtf 10 points 21 hours ago

It's around 1000 millimeteors

[-] everett@lemmy.ml 10 points 22 hours ago

Exactly one meteor wide. Do you need the height as well?

[-] dellish@lemmy.world 2 points 14 hours ago
[-] everett@lemmy.ml 1 points 13 hours ago

The meteorest.

[-] Norgoroth@lemmy.world 6 points 22 hours ago

130 - 400 meters

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this post was submitted on 07 Feb 2025
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Astronomy

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