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submitted 2 days ago by Sunshine@lemmy.ca to c/canada@lemmy.ca
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[-] Adderbox76@lemmy.ca 5 points 16 hours ago

You love to see it.

[-] Freshparsnip@lemm.ee 10 points 1 day ago

Carney, Carney, he's our man, if he can't do it no one can

[-] Yoga@lemmy.ca 44 points 2 days ago

I'm baffled by the correlation of age and support of conservatives. How is their top demo the youngest one?

Is social media / podcast bro brainrot really outdoing the common trope of getting more conservative with age?

[-] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 12 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

It looks more to me like being anti-Trudeau/incumbent correlates with youth. You'll notice they're also the top NDP group in these results.

Most young people just aren't political, and those that are are mostly left-leaning in my bubble. It's just hard to picture most of them complaining about wokeism or whatever.

[-] 7rokhym@lemmy.ca 13 points 1 day ago

Many are angry, so they blame the guy that’s been around for the last decade. They are too young to remember what Stephen Harper did and don’t seem interested in figuring it out.

[-] NotSteve_@lemmy.ca 17 points 1 day ago

That's definitely a big part of it, but the alt-right pipeline/manosphere shit is real and out of control in western/American social media. Things are pretty hellish right now economy-wise all over and all the social media algorithms are perfectly tuned to push "solutions" or out-groups to blame for it all.

It's like if you don't already have a political leaning to purposely influence your feed, everything is now setup to push you down a far right wing path where everything is the fault of women, LGBTQ+ people, immigrants, etc.

[-] LeFantome@programming.dev 3 points 21 hours ago

I think that is correct. Also, if you are looking for boogeymen, the immigration rings true as a problem for young people because Canada legit did go a bit too crazy and especially with International students. If you are young, and every school and workforce you are competing for is suddenly stuffed with foreigners, it sounds like the conservatives are right. That makes it easier to accept that they are right about house prices, climate, other social issues, etc.

More importantly, you don’t have to believe the conservatives, you just have to be mad at the Liberals for being in power as long as you can remember and screwing it up.

Changing leaders gives the Liberals a chance to also be a “new” team.

[-] wise_pancake@lemmy.ca 21 points 1 day ago

Try watching YouTube with a new email and watch your suggestions. If you watch a single right wing video that is all you will ever get.

Same with tiktok and Instagram.

Also young men aren't interested in secondary education, they're having trouble with jobs, women don't want to date then due to their right wing views, so they're doubling down even further.

[-] Isaac@waterloolemmy.ca 41 points 2 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Alt-right pipeline is alive and flourishing. Check on your loved ones mental health and reach across the aisle with open arms if you can, block if you can't. Try not to feed the trolls, and Godspeed!

E: can to can't

[-] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 1 points 1 day ago

That can have pitfalls itself, can't it? If I knew someone who was going down that path I'd worry about it feeling like I'm policing them rather than valuing and supporting them.

[-] Arkouda@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 day ago

Check on your loved ones mental health and reach across the aisle with open arms if you can, block of you can

Are you advocating to block loved ones if their mental health is too far gone or am I misreading this?

[-] Isaac@waterloolemmy.ca 9 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Good catch, meant to say "don't block if you can" we need them to see our side. I'll update my op.

And to add context, this is a waiting game. I'm hopeful the factions align under progressive libs before cons. We all want a better place, we gotta keep moving forward. Regression is bad mkay

[-] spector@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 day ago

That's an Americanism. Canadian boomers aren't as malignantly conservative.

[-] puppinstuff@lemmy.ca 14 points 2 days ago

The one Canadian MAGA in my family is my younger cousin. He had some rough economic and health times and the latter affected his cognitive ability. I feel really bad for him but he’s a true PP believer even through this.

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[-] Sixtyforce@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Their more progressive parents should've tried parenting.

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[-] Sixtyforce@sh.itjust.works 16 points 2 days ago

I saw Liberals leading Alberta, which made me do a double take.

Then I read the small print. Yeah, keep your expectations in check it's not that hype.

[-] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Other recent polls have put the Liberals in the lead, but not by this much. Time will tell if it's just a bit ahead of the curve or a true outlier.

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[-] Mycatiskai@lemmy.ca 18 points 2 days ago

I support the NDP but I have moved somewhere with little chance of a seat going that way so more than likely I'll go for whichever party shows better chance of beating the conservative candidate.

[-] CircaV@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 day ago

At this moment in time, this is the way.

[-] Daelsky@lemmy.ca 27 points 2 days ago

Wow that’s a HUGE rise. I wonder what other polling firms will show this week.

[-] Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works 13 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

EKOS is the clear outlier, but Leger has the Liberals tied on votes (which puts them at a likely win and a chance of a majority thanks to their far more efficient distribution) and Mainstreet has them with a five point lead.

It's also worth noting that EKOS has tended to predict recent trends in a way that other polling hasn't. They were the first to show the Liberal recovery happening at all. This poll is an outlier, but it agrees with the overall trend in the data, just more strongly.

This also aligns with polling on opinions and issues. Canadians, by far, see "Handling Trump" as their top priority right now, with "The Economy" in second, and Carney is seen as the best choice on both. While Pollievre polls decently on economy, he's seen as a total pushover or even a willing accomplice where Trump is concerned, thanks to his constant parroting of GOP talking points and his complete inability to openly condemn Trump's actions.

However, while this poll agrees with the overall direction, and EKOS has been a leading indicator, the odds of seeing actual results like this are incredibly slim. An actual election like this would give the CPC their lowest ever seat count since the merger. It would probably destroy the party entirely.

[-] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Hey, he's not a complete pushover, he put out a tweet (or an X?) confirming he's Canadian. He also changed "America" to "Canada" when he started reusing Trump's exact slogan. /s

[-] Godort@lemm.ee 23 points 2 days ago

The liberal majority in Alberta is shocking. I never thought I'd see the day

From the article:

The Liberals enjoy decisive leads in seat-rich Ontario and Quebec. Curiously, the Liberals have a statistically insignificant edge in Alberta; however, this finding is almost certainly an artefact of chance given the small sample size in the province (this finding did not appear in our parallel Probit survey).

[-] wise_pancake@lemmy.ca 9 points 2 days ago

Everything about that sentence makes the statistician in me cry

Take anything Ekos post with a grain of salt please

[-] otter@lemmy.ca 6 points 2 days ago

338 posts updates every Sunday, I'm looking forward to seeing that one

https://338canada.com/federal.htm

[-] 60d@lemmy.ca 11 points 2 days ago

He's an Edmonton kid. Albertans like Albertans. Here's hoping we see this keep climbing.

Next, we really need proportional representation.

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this post was submitted on 15 Mar 2025
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