The US has built a disgustingly single digit amount of remotely hardened hangars in their pacific theater bases despite think tanks and analysts screaming that they should for a decade now. Dont be so sure the US is competent in preparing their bases appropriately for this new era of warfare in the theater that matters
People probably dont like it but i doubt its a scandal. Its just the status quo. As long as China or any country for that matter has normal diplomatic and trade relations with Israel their ambassadors there will meet with Israeli officials and ministers and post some vague "productive meeting" tweet on social media. China of course should take much harsher stances on Israel but this isnt surprising or some shift in the, bland 2 state position yes, China holds.
China has reduced military coopration and sales to Israel to practicaly zero compared to the early 2010s and has reduced investment in Israel by like >50% over the last 5-6 years but beyond that they predictably wont lead any economic or diplomatic effort or coercion against Israel. Both because its actualy near useless so long as the US and EU rabidly support Israel and Arab powers don’t get off their ass to do anything but mostly because of "non interference" foreign policy brainworms. Even if we assume China attempts to completely cut trade or even sanction Israel (which they should but obviously wont) i wonder what it would actualy accomplish. Israel itself doesn’t care what anyone else thinks so long as the US and EU support it and the US and EU will just do the opposite of whatever they think China is doing. The US and EU would pour whatever billions needed for Israel to absorb whatever economic harm from that and then most Chinese goods will be re-routed through a third party countries, either neighbouring arab countries that will do fuck all to join such an effort or bought and resold to Israel by the west. Israel aint that big and with the west fully bankrolling it and full access to global trade and western financial system they any unilateral chinese attempt at trade war against Israel wont amount to much. Supporting Israel is a drop in the bucket for the west economicaly and that wont change if they had to ramp this up a bit. It would be just symbolic from China's side. It would still be cool and good if they did it but anything short than full on nuclear economic warfare against eveyone involved, joined earnestly by other regional and world actors, wouldnt stop the Holocaust. Im not saying thats China's calculus and thats the reason they dont take aggresive economic actions against Israel, far from it. Im just wondering what would happen even if they were willing given the current geopolical realities
Chinese deradicalization campaigns in Xinjiang seemed to have worked pretty well. At the peak of ISIS there were like 10k Uyghurs that fought in the middle east that and them entering back to China kickstarted such campaigns in earnest. But beyind the deradicalization right now Xinjiang is in a much better place economicaly, China is much stronger militarily and intelligence wise, Afghanistan isnt occupatied by americans in order to easily ship terrorists back in China and the numbers of Uyghurs in Syria and ME arent im guessing nearly as big as in ISIS times.
So i doupt there is much danger for China here. Good luck to some couple of hundreds of Uyghur seperatists in getting back to China without getting blown up by some drone or thrown in jail immediately
Suggesting that China should have put pla boots on the ground in Syria over all of this is a bit ridiculous. Even if China was more interventionist they wouldnt. And as far as Assad falling the russians and iranians with larrge military presence for ages there couldnt dk anything with the speed of the saa collapse and demoralization. What would a thousand pla troops or equipment have achieved . Other than probably be captured by western stooges
The car aint going anywhere in the coming decades for hundreds of millions of people. The best case somewhat realistic scenario enviromentaly for those people then becomes those cars being EVs along with cheap and abundant clean electricy through renewables and battery advances. There is, or at least should be demand for this scale of expanded EV production. At least in China there is
The question usualy isnt "why don't the vietnamese like the chinese very much?" but "why do the vietnamese like the US that much more". Negative public opinion towards China is understandable. Negative public opinion towards China along with very positive public opinion towards the US much less so
If the US stayed out of it Taiwan would surrender within a month of tight-ish embargo at the very best. Most liberal and independance hardliners would flee to the west, maybe hundreds of thousands but Taiwan would simply become a pre 2018 Hong Kong 1 country two systems situation for decades to come with maybe some protests here and there. They isnt the stomach for a Ukraine like resistance in Taiwan, no rabid ideological and ethnic hatred in most of the military and politics . Taiwanese wont do guirella fighting against China or anything of the short, thats a funny and silly idea
And Weibo is comfortably the most liberal chinese social media, or at least the one that you'll find the highest concentration of liberals depending on the topic
They don't seem to be anywhere near the top, at least in the last decade. Dont know if it decreased even more or not
Sadly Vietnam seems to be..
Either way as for sanctions they pretty much never do that in their modern history, for better or worse. Doupt its gonna change now. At least in any overt way
Property prices, especially Tier 2 and bellow cities are seeing sustained drops on average. So this is an accompanying measure and not the start. The CPC has been slowly deflating and deleveraging their property market for 1-2 years now (with ups and downs and regional differences) but it is happening and it is intentional even if it barely has moved the needle in a lot of places. If anything home sales are still static or lower now because often people are expecting the prices to drop further so they are holding on. So this measure is probably a way to push some to buy now
Also general the "meat" of China’s future RE market is not in the 200 million who live in the richest cities or the 400 million who’ve reached urban middle class but the next 1 billion who are still climbing the development ladder .So income growth vs RE prices in 3rd tier and below is very important and its showing positive trends and results, even if first tier housing prices ,speculation and bubbles may persist and go back and forth for years
Also the numbers about Chinese GDP being 30% real estate etc are western third party guestimates and include any activity remotely related or including real estate. Its a big issue but not at that scale. Government figures put it closer to just being some 5-6 % points higher than western countries
People here miss the main reason for the Chinese graph. Due to rapid modernaziation and urbanization China is at a point where it has two countries with different levels of income within itself. One with some 200-300 million people in the big cities earning basicaly European level salaries and incomes and one of some 200-300 million rural residents that make 2-3 times less at least (and then various stages in between).So in the process of massive urbanization in a very short period of time a shitton of people have been uplifted to high income status while a shitton are in the way and a shitton are still not uplifted but most likely will. That creates a very unique impact in inequality metrics without context
Also that doesnt translate to equaly huge disparty in quality of life or purchasing power since in rural or small town China life ,even beyond rent, is indeed much cheaper compared to urban ereas in a degree not seen in the vast majority of countries . That particular configuration is very specific to China. For example the median US "rural" income is just 20% lower than the median urban one and despite that income inequality is so immense nationwide
And all that ignoring the particularities that arise if you try to make a wealth graph for China instead of income. With 90% home ownership rate, very large savings compared to other countries, an ever present in kind welfare state and a "at least on paper" people's state that can be argued to actively control most of the wealth in various ways . Even for a "de formed" workers state how can you really make a wealth graph that accounts for the non capitalist particularities of ownership and control
Also how can you even compare stats like that between different modes of production. The bottom 50% in 1930s China were landless peasant serfs slaving on feudal warlords and living till 33 years old. What does them having 25% of Chinas income share even mean or even matter? How can you compare it to the situation I described above. How is it even calculated in such a context ?
It's nothing like comparing and calculating the stats in Western capitalist countries now vs in the 30s or 40s
Even if China's demographic issues are as big as dumbass clickbait YT vids and reddit comments make it out to be that would still put China in the demographic position of SK a couple of decades ago. S. Korea quintupled industrial production between 1992-2010 and their productivity rose x6 while it's factory workforce dropped 25%. It's all about education, tech, and productivity. More important than the aggregate Chinese population is the technically proficient,college educated, Chinese population. That has grown 20-fold, or by 2,000%, in the past 40 years and will continue to grow due to the hundreds of millions of untapped rural population despite the decline in population.
So point is, economy is still growing. The plan has always been to create self-sustaining growth in exports to the Global South with BRI infrastructure + productivity leap at home. Both of those aspects show great success. Exports and imports to the GS are expanding and the entire SEA is brought in the sphere of Chinese digital economy. The "greater China" economy includes another billion people in SE and Central Asia.China is getting 2x to 8x productivity leaps with AI/5G apps in industry/mining/logistics.
And all that is assuming China cant and will not tackle demographic issues in any other manners
Pakistan at this point is way to deep into China's sphere of influence for US bribes and cia ops to move mountains. Like yeah the US played a role in khans arrest and overthrow but the following military junta still almost immediately and to this day did not take a single step away from China. On the contrary it deepened intergration and dependency radically. China is simply to big and too important for pakistan geopoliticaly, military and economicaly for them to be "on the poket of the cia" . Their entire state, economy and military deterents would collapse without continuously deepening relations with China through ways the US can simply can not or would not (due to india) provide. Cia ops , bribes etc are fine and all but 1. China can do them as well, especially in their backyard and 1. They end up secondary to the sheer economic and geopolitical impact China can throw around and offer Pakistan. The US can try to put compradors in place but ironically these compradors would end up moving the country closer to china regardless due to the actual reality and politics of having to run that country and keep their regional positioning.