Lol. Lmao, even. Honest to god what even is the plan here?
Anyway, link to the post
Welcome to c/news! Please read the Hexbear Code of Conduct and remember... we're all comrades here.
Rules:
-- PLEASE KEEP POST TITLES INFORMATIVE --
-- Overly editorialized titles, particularly if they link to opinion pieces, may get your post removed. --
-- All posts must include a link to their source. Screenshots are fine IF you include the link in the post body. --
-- If you are citing a twitter post as news please include not just the twitter.com in your links but also nitter.net (or another Nitter instance). There is also a Firefox extension that can redirect Twitter links to a Nitter instance: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/libredirect/ or archive them as you would any other reactionary source using e.g. https://archive.today . Twitter screenshots still need to be sourced or they will be removed --
-- Mass tagging comm moderators across multiple posts like a broken markov chain bot will result in a comm ban--
-- Repeated consecutive posting of reactionary sources, fake news, misleading / outdated news, false alarms over ghoul deaths, and/or shitposts will result in a comm ban.--
-- Neglecting to use content warnings or NSFW when dealing with disturbing content will be removed until in compliance. Users who are consecutively reported due to failing to use content warnings or NSFW tags when commenting on or posting disturbing content will result in the user being banned. --
-- Using April 1st as an excuse to post fake headlines, like the resurrection of Kissinger while he is still fortunately dead, will result in the poster being thrown in the gamer gulag and be sentenced to play and beat trashy mobile games like 'Raid: Shadow Legends' in order to be rehabilitated back into general society. --
I think the shock it would cause immediately in both countries would shoot prices up
Oh they'll shoot up in the US, but I don't see that happening in Canada. They're going to be hit with a drop in demand from US refineries and either be forced to cut prices to overcome the tariff, go to other markets, or overproduce.
They might be able to just sell to other markets and not have to cut prices much, though.
The thing is that refineries are designed around refining specific types/qualities of crude. The US produces a lot of light (low viscosity) and sweet (low sulfur) crude oil, but a lot of our refineries are actually set up to refine heavy (high viscosity) and sour (high sulfur) crude, because it's cheaper to buy and more advanced refineries can make a larger profit on it. And as you might have guessed, most of the crude produced is Canada is heavy sour crude. A lot of the majors/super majors will pump light and sweet US crude and then export a good portion of it overseas to countries that don't have the same refining capabilities and then buy the cheap and dirty stuff that they know how to handle. I'm not a down stream expert, but I would imagine going from heavy sour crude to light sweet crude is probably going to be costly, even if it's easier than going in the other direction. What I expect is more likely is that refineries won't stop buying Canadian crude and will just raise prices, instead.
A big problem is that the Canadian dollar value is tied to oil price. But these tariffs are a different sort of oil price than the standard OPEC pricing. Usually if oil prices go down worldwide, demand for the difficult to refine Canadian oil goes down and our dollar devalues.
If price goes up, then we become more competitive and put dollar strengthens. This new situation is different because it will decrease demand and increase the domestic cost of oil, so our dollar will get weaker AND oil costs will go up in Canada. I think. It will be bad, regardless.