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A true coup seems out of the question for the reasons you gave, but I think some sort of "quiet coup" where the military leadership mass refuses purges is possible. A sort of leadership 'strike', where they openly or covertly shut this effort down and restrain the executive by not going along. Hegseth has absolutely no legitimacy among brass, who see him as a drunken loser with no right to the top spot, and among the rank and file, who see him as a drunken loser with no concern for their safety or well being.
unrelated question: what's the highest rank that's ever been fragged?
Had to be General Harold Greene. He got killed by an Afghan National Army guy working in cooperation with the US in Afghanistan. Not sure if this "counts" because he was an ally but not an American soldier. Also he was shot not literally fragged (like with a grenade).
The highest rank I saw killed directly by actual fragging was a major and a captain in one event. That was an American soldier killing other Americans in Vietnam. I assume it's incredibly rare for anyone over the rank of major to be literally fragged because they won't be staying out "in the field" with the regular soldiers the way a lieutenant or captain would be. A major would also not be near regular soldiers for the most part, not in a war scenario, so that must've been quite the opportunity that person took to nail a major and captain at once.
Here's the funniest story of "purposeful friendly fire" I could find. Heinrich von Breymann he was a lieutenant colonel serving under a British officer when they were fighting to put down the American revolution (Battle of Saratoga).
From the Wikipedia article: "On 7 October 1777, Breymann's unit was driven behind a redoubt by American troops; he grew frustrated with his own men and began attacking four soldiers with his sabre before Breymann was shot and killed by one of them."
Lol.