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this post was submitted on 09 Feb 2026
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pretty sure every real country on the planet has indicated many times that what the US has done and continues to do to Cuba is an indefensible crime against humanity.
if i were a near-peer geopolitical rival, it would be a no-brainer to escort in humanitarian aid and bait the US into doing something extremely shitty to increase tensions among the fraying atlanticist coalition.
It is not so inevitable that the Atlanticist coalition would be weakened by an international incident around Cuba. This is the same coalition that gleefully supported the US in its invasion of Iraq and many other deeply immoral excursions. Furthermore a UN vote in support of Cuba is easy, even free PR because they know the US will veto. I wouldn’t take it as a clear indicator of material support in a crisis scenario. It is possible that such a situation would galvanize support around the “besieged” United States.
its not that an inciting incident would weaken the resolve of the Atlanticist coalition of leaders. they will go to their graves or gallows defending capital.
rather it would expose more of their sniveling, unpopular cruelty to the working class they pretend to represent in their little "democracies".
true power is always resting with the working class of each nation, but it is corralled and harnessed as it sleeps. each inciting incident threatens to disturb the slumber.
Gaza already exposed it, anyone who could've been convinced already has been convinced.
The US would love the chance to show off their naval power in their own back yard though
its a paper tiger. it has not faced a peer in a generation and frequently loses its own war games against regional powers.
it is a bully that sinks or steals commercial craft and operates entirely on the assumptions that no one will ever call any bluff, every other party will always back down from provocation, and none of its victims will ever organize any retaliation.
Just because the yanks are less and less able to project power abroad, doesn't mean China can start waving their dicks 90 miles off the US coast
Yeah China is pretty well defended in its own area, but it does not have the power projection that would be necessary to win a naval battle in Latin America. In attempting to do so, they’d also be severely weakening that defensive capacity back home, too. China is pragmatic, to a fault, you could say, but they do not want to engage in open warfare with anyone really, much less the US in its own hemisphere.
And the thing with the geography of the Florida straights is that they can't even do a humanitarian escort without threatening US territory in the process