Image is of a destroyed American AWACS plane in Saudi Arabia, of which there is a very limited supply and each of which is enormously expensive both monetarily and in terms of components. Iran hit this with a precision drone strike that likely cost ~$20,000.
I don't have much to add from the last megathread description. This isn't to say that nothing has happened or has changed since then - decades are still happening in weeks - but the general flow of the war is remaining the same. Trump sometimes threatens to open the Strait with troops and flatten Iran to rubble, and other times threatens that he's gonna back off and let other countries handle it if they really want little trifles like "fuel" and "energy" so much. Iran continues to strike across the Middle East. The West continues to bomb civilian infrastructure due to their relative inability to affect the missile cities. In all: things are generally getting worse for America and the Zionists.
April is the month where the last ships that left Hormuz before it was closed will arrive around the world, so the last month of economic turmoil has been a mere prelude to what's going to occur in the near-future. The silver lining is that Iran appears to be formalizing the new state of affairs in Hormuz, creating a rial-based toll to allow passage between a pair of Iranian-controlled islands where they can be monitored, meaning that, as long as the US doesn't do something exceptionally stupid, the global energy crisis may "only" last a couple years instead of simply being the new reality from now on. Some countries have already agreed to this arrangement, and others will inevitably follow despite their consternation as their economies increasingly suffer.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Current known tally of losses from this series of rescue operations:
I know some people will be disappointed Iran didn’t achieve more during all this, but all in all I think that’s a good trade for 1 pilot and 1 weapons systems officer.
Both sides can make of this incident what they will. But it's a win for Iran: they got the enemy to scramble a lot of resources and be distracted from other targets. It seems likely that Iran could shoot down more of these planes in the future or the US comes to the conclusion they have to be more careful with their air assets. A minor tactical loss that might turn into a strategic win.
400 million just for the vehicles lost/damaged, plus 100 - 150k combined total flight hour cost for the lost vehicles plus the flight hour cost of the rescue mission plus the labor cost of the hundreds of people who were apparently involved. Did they burn a billion on this? Upwards of 2 billion?
400 million in airframes that are all out of production. Those F-15s and A-10s are gonna be replaced with F-35s at the very least (if at all)
technically, the F-15E lives on in the modernized F-15EX, but that has had some reliability and production troubles
(also, very belated answer to this comment of yours I came across while I was looking for those other posts - I feel like the hexbear inbox occasionally eats replies, I'll sometimes pop into a post of mine and see some replies that I don't remember popping up in the inbox... but I guess it could also just be me hitting mark all as read when I had missed some
anyway, the trouble with the F-35 is that:
)
A Reddit link was detected in your comment. Here are links to the same location on alternative frontends that protect your privacy.
Hoping the IRGC is going to also study the operations and get an idea for what the US might try with a ground invasion etc. Extracting a pilot and hypothetically extracting a bunch of nuclear material might roll in similar ways? (Or not, I actually have no idea).
Sort of wonder if the US operations room was treating this a bit like a dry run for whatever half-baked airdrop invasion they're cooking up.
A pilot weighs maybe 200 lbs and is not hazardous to other humans around them nor oddly weighted or shaped. For extracting the nuclear material they'd need something much less fast in and out and more sustained. They'd need to build a make-shift airfield, attempt to defend hundreds or a thousand or so troops on the ground while they operate heavy machinery over days or several weeks of time to excavate bombed and deliberately entombed bunkers, then land planes to get the material and then fly out with it and their troops. The only similarity would be heavy air support cover for the troops carrying out the operation but even then that would look different as they'd be defending a larger area and a huge number of troops compared to one very hot spot.
Frankly in that situation the US would be defending against lots of coordinated drone waves, missile strikes, etc. Whereas in this the situation was too fluid for Iran to get missile strikes rolling I presume and I assume their drone capabilities were also limited by the rapidly evolving situation and nature of their mosaic defense which doesn't lend itself to rapid coordinated response.
look, this is an American pilot we're talking about, and I don't know if I would say any of these things in relation to the average American
I don’t speak military language, were there US terrorists killed in the rescue mission?
It looks like "no"
Your link is going to the wrong thing I suspect
Thanks for letting me know, it should be working correctly now.