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At least a dozen US military sites across the Gulf region have been so badly damaged by Iran's retaliation to US and Israeli attacks that their presence now creates significantly more vulnerabilities than it does benefits, a slate of Middle East experts argued on Thursday.

The original revelation about the state of the bases was first reported in The New York Times last month, in which they were described as "all but uninhabitable".

The Trump administration has yet to acknowledge the extent of the damage sustained.

"This is the physical architecture of American primacy, and Iran has essentially rendered it useless in the span of a month," Marc Lynch, director of the Project on Middle East Political Science at George Washington University, said at the Arab Center Washington DC's annual conference.

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[-] yogthos@lemmy.ml 23 points 1 day ago

Aside from Iran starting to charge a toll and control traffic through Hormuz, this is the other most consequential outcome of the war. All the infrastructure that the US spent decades building is now useless. Iran proved that none of these bases were defensible, and they destroyed billions, if not trillions, worth of radars and other high tech equipment, not to mention the cost of building these bases themselves. The entire US position in the region has now collapsed, and there's no going back to the way things were before.

[-] P00ptart@lemmy.world 19 points 1 day ago

Those bases were never thought to need defense other than local riots. The thought was that nobody would dare attack them. They were seen as defense by their nature of existing. The defense being the threat of American offense coming a week later to wreak havoc. But if you put a country on their heels, what difference does it make? Might as well go out swinging, and that's what they did, and it worked.

[-] yogthos@lemmy.ml 15 points 1 day ago

Absolutely, the whole premise was that nobody would have the audacity to fight the US directly. There is a famous poker saying that you don't bluff someone who can't fold. Iran couldn't fold because their survival as a state depended on it. So Trump's made the worst possible blunder, trying to bluff against an opponent with no exit and maximum stakes.

[-] umbrella@lemmy.ml 12 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

that's not only emboldening their enemies, the bases were part of their protection pitch to their allies too. some petrolstate's feet will be getting even colder.

[-] yogthos@lemmy.ml 13 points 1 day ago

i imagine the Gulf states must be rethinking the whole arrangement now. They thought they were untouchable under the American umbrella, but now they see they're in fact the ones who will be absorbing most of the damage from the war. And if the US can't protect them, then making peace with Iran is the only way forward.

[-] bennieandthez@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 23 hours ago

They still need the american weapons, the gulf states have barely any popular support and would get overthrown in a heatbeat without american support.

[-] yogthos@lemmy.ml 9 points 22 hours ago

I think that's likely where things are going at this point.

this post was submitted on 09 Apr 2026
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