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I honestly thought DeSantis stood a better chance. He's got the traditionally ideal resume, although he failed to really leverage that in his campaign, probably out of fear of angering the MAGA base. He's certainly smarter than Trump and possibly more malevolent. But, he lacks the charisma and personality of a used care salesman and doesn't have the Vince McMahon like faux tough guy image that Trump has spent a few decades honing.
Trump is a moron, but he's smart enough to know that there is an alarmingly large segment of the American population for whom politics is like wrestling. He doesn't have to deliver on jack shit. He just has to put on a great show and the "fans"will keep coming back for more and emptying their pockets for him on the way in. Hell, that's what he's done for his whole career.
Haley knows she can't compete in that arena which is why she isn't even trying. She's hoping to pick up enough disgruntled traditional Republicans to make a dent but I'm not not sure there are enough left to give her any serious momentum.