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this post was submitted on 28 Aug 2024
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What a weird thing to say.
Edit: lol, 1 day old account
What a bizarre take. What does the age of the account has to do with anything?
It's a common indicator of people making throwaway accounts for the sake of trolling without backlash.
Sometimes genuine accounts may have strong takes, but that's more rare. And the nickname "mods_mum" doesn't make it any more believable.
I ran out of my chat gpt credit but before I did I managed to get a summary of normalized crime statistics for 2005, 2006 and 2007. Once I can query more I'll add data from later years
Here's my ChatGPT query:
https://chatgpt.com/share/337e3463-e232-4bd7-bf08-1d8ed7997740
Oh no... people are starting to trust "AI" to provide them accurate information without verifying it.
"But but but, ChatGPT said it, so it must be right!"
ChatGPT doesn't make up data out of thin air. All crime statistics used are from the BKA. Here's the rest of stats normalized by the population size
Numbers don't even seem to add up, or something strongly changed between 2007 and 2010.
Also, you're either a troll or a very incompetent researcher. You should absolutely never ever rely on LLMs to serve you any factual data. LLMs are highly prone to hallucinations.
Here's an actual paper on the issue: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0167268123001713
Generally, the migrant crime rate increased in 2008-2014, but then decreased throughout 2015-2019. In total, the change averages to about zero.
As per reasoning, two primary forces are demonstrated: on one hand, poorer material conditions, and on the other, the fear of being deported. In 2015-2019, during refugee crisis, being sent back could mean essential death sentence, which shifted the balance. All of this is to say that we should improve material conditions for migrants if we want the crime rates among them to drop further. Instead, it is currently done under threats of deportation.
The only thing left unanswered for me is sexual violence. But in Germany, the difference between natives and locals is not as big as to justify mass measures against an entirety of migrant population.
Uk, then just read this. It's straight from BKA
https://www.bka.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/Publikationen/JahresberichteUndLagebilder/KriminalitaetImKontextVonZuwanderung/KriminalitaetImKontextVonZuwanderung_2022.html?nn=62336
Maybe you should've read it too...
First page:
The number of refugees had also barely risen between 2016 (1.5M at end of refugee "crisis") and 2021 (1.7M), but jumped to 2.8M with 1M coming from Ukraine.
Additionally, the document isn't good as it keeps mixing up "immigrants" and "refugees", so you never know if it's talking about some dude from Spain or a dude from Syria.
Page 38: (can't link to image for some reason with fedia)
I'm also guessing TVZ means something like immigrant or refugee or something?
Solved crime cases against life (murder?)
| year | total | including at least on TVZ | | 2018 | 3007 | 430 (14,3%) | | 2019 | 2751 | 357 (13,0%) | | 2020 | 2947 | 370 (12,6%) | | 2021 | 2635 | 366 (13,9%) | | 2022 | 2732 | 332 (12,2%) |
The number of crimes (and those committed by "TVZ") is dropping despite the number of immigrants/refugees increasing.
Dude, stop using ChatGPT and actually a document by yourself once in a while.
lol getting down-voted for pointing directly to BKA's report. The cope intensifies