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Okay, seriously tho
(hexbear.net)
If you have a materialist worldview and understand class relationships, you can generally come out of most situations with the correct take without knowing the details.
Even that was less of a prediction and more of a promise, seeing how in the week leading up to the intervention, the shelling of the Donbas intensified wildly. Remember during that week or so, when Biden was going on TV every day saying "The Russians are going to attack Ukraine today! Er, *tomorrow!. Uh, I meant the next day!"