Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.
We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the "Gaza Metro" and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I've seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.
The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from "very limited" - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah's fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.
Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad's recent suggestion of using "quasi-state actor" as a more respectful replacement for the typical "non-state actor" seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah's path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah's supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.
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The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Milei vetoes university funding increase hours after massive march
It's literally less than 1% of the GDP or something like that lmfao. However, when it comes to buying submarines from France or armored vehicles from the US, there's a sudden need to stop talking about fiscal balance...
Yes. They used the "Make Argentina Great Again" slogan. They're completely out of this place, they just look upon the US and cream their pants over it. It's pathetic, truly truly pathetic. They're alien to our society and to our culture, which is why they'll end up being destroyed one after another. They can't even come up with something original for once, so much for innovation under capitalism..
(We will remember their names for when our time comes)
we literally depend on neoliberals lmfao
Anyways, I went to the march carrying my Palestinian flag because there is ONE BIG STRUGGLE and all well-meaning struggles are part of it. Overall it was a good experience, lots of people but it was better organized than the last one, meaning that if you needed to get out for whatever reason, the sidewalks were mostly available for you to use. I went with some of my university friends, that's the way to go. One of our Spanish History professors was seen carrying a flag with the Hispanic Visigoth Cross lmfao, just shit you get to see in marches. They're beautiful, I can't stress that enough. I love them, the drums, the people, the flags, everything about it is awesome. Some individuals shouldn't have been there but it's a big march anyways.
Here's a neat picture of the massive size. Lots of people are left out of the picture because they're marching in the streets around the Congress, unseen due to the buildings.
Meanwhile milei and his party hosted a rally in a park and they couldn't fill it. They don't have this power of mobilization and we must use it to our advantage.
Venezuela should send a guy to this clown
Nah, his own people will do it, also holy shit almost one year into his presidency crazy
It's been a year, how long will people wait? The situation is getting grimmer by the day and it was bad enough before he came to power.
There's a decent chunk of the peronist leadership that doesn't want the people out right now, so they're holding them back. They will do so under their terms.
Trots are doing fine I think. They're doing groundwork, assisting in organizing the protests and also articulating with workers that are currently on the verge of becoming unemployed (namely state workers and hospital staff, who are now in great danger) while also using their five seats in Congress to gain further visibility. Their big goal going forward is to take control of the unions, or at least wrestle them out of peronist control and put it under complete worker's management. This is a key aspect of their strategy, it's a bit ambitious right now because the power balance is not there yet, however times are moving fast and everything around us going to shit, plus peronism is in a bit of an internal crisis and this might be a good opportunity for us in the left to dislodge them from positions of power. Trots do need to get their shit together because they sometimes expose their internal conflicts too much and fail to solve them in an efficient manner. But I think they're in a transition too, the newer PTS party is growing and displacing the more traditional trot party, the Partido Obrero.
As for other communists, they're either disciplined by peronism or too marginal to be of any significance. "Mainstream" Communist parties like the Partido Comunista and the Partido Comunista Revolucionario are all integrated on peronism structures and too useless to do anything, kinda like the CPUSA, too friendly with capital.
They're not thaaat bad, at least not in here. I'm far from being a trot but I'd take them over other supposed "communists" who think they are doing the revolution but all the do is comply with the peronists. Hm, maybe trots in the imperial core have indeed huge issues but down here they're not awful, perhaps being in the global south while doing militancy shapes you in a different way. They do have problems that they need to fix quickly, but that's on them.