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May he ride off into the Cancun sunset never to be seen again.
(literature.cafe)
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this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2024
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Is that race close? I remember being optimistic before and getting dashed, so I haven't paid attention to that one this time around.
Yes, Collin Allred has apparently been hitting out of the park, way better and closer than the last D candidate to get close to unseating Ted Cruz
Cruz won over Beto at 2.6%, 538 is projecting Cruz at +4% over Allred. What am I missing?
The Iowa poll is the key to this whole thing.
The Setzer poll tosses out what past elections use as a base for their calculations. She goes off what's happening now and it's an extremely reliable poll.
#VOTE!!
I'm going to ask this dumb question in the interest of learning: I understand and agree Setzer is solid at polling Iowa, but what does it have to do with the Texas Senate?
Polls are going off old data, not taking in account the new voters, and the Republicans dropped 30 shitty right-wing polls that skewed the data.
Blind optimism
Can't really trust the polls, from what I've been reading they've been overcompensating for the "Trump R factor" not to mention all the shady Republicans polls that keep dumping trash data that are all "Oh yea it's gonna be a total Trump landslideee!!!! Trust me brooo!"
and unlike Beto, he didn't say Hell, yes, we’re going to take your AR-15, your AK-47
Beto didn't say that during the senate race he said that during the presidential race a few years later