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Image is from the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists' recent article on Kashmir.


It looks like the spat between India and Pakistan could be dying down, due to a new ceasefire. As of the time of me writing this paragraph, it seems both sides want to maintain it (despite some reports of violations here and there).

Both sides have declared victory, which is completely expected given their mutual political parties and nationalist histories. It's a little harder to say which side has actually won, as both sides seem to have managed to shoot down aircraft and hit military bases. India has, in my opinion, had the more embarrassing moments, but international conflicts aren't cringe compilations. I feel no good-will towards Pakistan's comprador government, but it is at least nice to see Modi knocked down a few pegs. Regardless of the final technical victor, it's obvious that - if the ceasefire is maintained - who won are the hundreds of millions of people who won't have to live in fear of dying in nuclear hellfire.

This conflict is a good example of what multipolarity will truly entail. Countries that have been previously limited in their nationalist ambitions by American pressure will now take opportunities to revolt, sometimes against America itself, and sometimes against other countries in their regional neighbourhood. It's also why, as communists, our goals do not stop at multipolarity; it is merely the establishing act of a new era of agitation against peripheral and semi-peripheral capitalist countries that are forming powerful national bourgeoisie classes as the international American capitalists are forced away.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


top 50 comments
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[-] Ideology@hexbear.net 10 points 2 hours ago
[-] HexReplyBot@hexbear.net 1 points 2 hours ago

A Reddit link was detected in your comment. Here are links to the same location on alternative frontends that protect your privacy.

[-] dead@hexbear.net 30 points 7 hours ago

https://xcancel.com/Pontifex

Pope Leo activated his twitter account today and made some posts.

[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 8 points 2 hours ago

Hate to say it, but so far it has this vibe

[-] Awoo@hexbear.net 12 points 5 hours ago

Trying his hand at influencing Ukraine/Russia by the looks of it. He's got no chance.

[-] TraschcanOfIdeology@hexbear.net 2 points 55 minutes ago

The LOTR meme that goes "you have no power here" comes to mind.

[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 18 points 7 hours ago
[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 34 points 8 hours ago
[-] jack@hexbear.net 47 points 10 hours ago

I really hope Petro and Maduro are serious about these Gran Colombia talks!

https://elcooperante.com/maduro-dice-estar-de-acuerdo-con-petro-en-refundar-la-gran-colombia/

Machine translated excerpts:

During his program Con Maduro, the president said he had sent a letter to Petro in which he asked to move "more acceleratedly" in the creation of a binational area of shared development, stressing that both Venezuelan and Colombian entrepreneurs "are already prepared" and have "specific plans" to take that step.

"The fate of Venezuela and Colombia must be the integral productive union, the new Great Colombia, which is a dream of Commander Chávez and which Petro flies as well. I fully agree to recast the new Great Colombia," Maduro said.

Maduro is enthusiastically supporting the idea, though he's not bothering to talk about Ecuador and Panama. Instead, he's talking about a different partner: China.

The Venezuelan president also celebrated Petro's official visit to China, where he plans to sign accession agreements to the Strip and Route Initiative, and raised the possibility of attracting Chinese investments, machinery and markets not only for Colombia, but also for the projected binational economic zone.

"Between Petro, Maduro, Colombia and Venezuela we can bring with the Chinese machinery, investments, capital and markets for a powerful binational economic zone," said the Venezuelan president, who asked that his message reach Petro in the context of his agenda in China.

If China supports the creation of a huge socialist confederation in Latin America, oh boy we're cooking.

[-] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 37 points 10 hours ago

As a Colombian nerd the idea of a new Gran Colombia is very fringe in the mainstream, and honestly not very useful in my opinion. Bolivarianism is much more useful, but kinda hard to put it in the mainstream because it is associated with Chavismo and FARC-EP.

But Colombia improving relations with Venezuela and China is a very good step in the right direction. And signing the BRI yesterday is based as hell.

We'll see what happens on the elections next year. But it is more likely than not that we get a right wing government, but we'll see.

[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 19 points 8 hours ago

If I may, why do you suspect that the next election will swing back to the right wing? Is Mr. Petro not super popular anymore?

[-] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 21 points 7 hours ago

Petro is still very popular but, 2 reasons:

  1. Colombia has reelections but the same person can't be re-elected back to back so he would have to appoint a candidate to run. Problem is, the candidates he usually picks are dogshit. Like uninspiring, or even with cases of being misogynistic and abusive. We lost the city elections because of that. He really doesn't want to consider a better candidate to run, but the party is yet to appoint one so we'll see.
  2. The mainstream media has been unrelenting in the campaign against him, and the political center has been moving away from him. As you might guess they are scared of spooky scary authoritarianism and the such. So it's likely that those votes will end up to a charismatic right wing leader. That said, there is no clear right wing candidate with a chance to win either, so who knows. Things are still up in the air right now.
[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 18 points 7 hours ago

Latin American leftist leaders really don't have a very good track record at picking successors do they kitty-birthday-sad

[-] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 16 points 6 hours ago

Maduro ain't too bad. Diaz-Canel either.

[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 14 points 5 hours ago

Oh for sure it's a mixed bag. But there's definitely a few noteworthy examples (Evo / Arce, Lenin Moreno, Lula is almost 80 for chrissake he should have had someone take his place years ago, same with Ortega, Fidel's brother taking over after him was probably not ideal but they finally got it sorted with Díaz-Canel but it took them long enough)

[-] jack@hexbear.net 17 points 8 hours ago

Is Gran Colombia not a fundamentally Bolivarian project?

[-] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 21 points 8 hours ago

Funny but not really, Bolivar might have built the Gran Colombia, but Bolivarianism is more about joining all of Central/South America. What is called the Patria Grande or great fatherland, against imperialism.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 19 points 8 hours ago

Gotta start somewhere

[-] Sinisterium@hexbear.net 20 points 9 hours ago

Would it strengthen socialism in the area? Or make both countries easier to coup and break down? reactionary enemies in both countries could find allies in each other as well.

[-] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 19 points 7 hours ago

IMO if a real bloc was built with Venezuela and Colombia, that would basically mean Colombia becoming socialist (which is really not plausible right now lmao). That said I would have said it was impossible a couple years ago but right now, its very unlikely but not impossible. Things are a bit better, but could definitely get worse lol.

It would make it hard for the US to coup either country, because as an example, all coup attempts at Venezuela are launched from Colombia.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 20 points 8 hours ago

Everything comes with risks, but generally I'd say greater unity and cooperation among the anti-imperialist left is always a net positive.

[-] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 62 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

Trump’s speech in Saudi Arabia repeated a bunch of neocon talking points and principles (Iran can never have a nuke and needs to submit to American demands, Sanctions against Assad were necessary and good, Hamas is an evil terrorist organization that needs to be destroyed before Palestine can be lifted from siege, Saudi Arabia should join the Abraham accords, etc).

Then he went on to attack “neocons” who failed at nation building in Iraq and Afghanistan.

It’s all such a dumb farce. Whenever rightoids complain about neocons it’s always that Garfield meme. They don’t even realize they are the neocons. Dude you had Bolton, Rubio, Kellog, Walz and more in your foreign policy department. Shut the fuck up!

[-] SteamedHamberder@hexbear.net 11 points 7 hours ago

Ok but would a Neocon refuse to do Bibi’s laundry?

[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 42 points 13 hours ago

Poland prepares for war - NPR (sorry)

So, is there any evidence whatsoever that Russia intends to invade Poland? Or does Poland maybe intend to fire the first shot here? Or are they just acting out a big paranoid fantasy they have that evil Putler wants to take them over too?

Also the war in Ukraine has been going on for like three years, why now.

[-] VILenin@hexbear.net 22 points 8 hours ago

They run “preparing for war” stories every other week to keep up the paranoia levels and boost defense spending, if war really is imminent it wouldn’t be that impressive a prediction, and wouldn’t be the result of their journalistic capability, cf. the Twitter accounts that posted the Queen would die on X date for every possible day in the near future and deleted all the wrong ones when she really croaked.

[-] FALGSConaut@hexbear.net 26 points 11 hours ago

The cynic in me thinks this can double as preparations to seize Ukrainian land in the event of a Ukrainian collapse. Iirc Hungary has been making similar noises about bits of western Ukraine, I wouldn't be surprised if these vultures pick apart Ukraine's corpse under the guise of "protecting ethic minorities" (ironic)

[-] Sinisterium@hexbear.net 21 points 10 hours ago

Doubt. Lviv is the bandera nazi heartland. Its going to be a mess if poland annexes it. Unlike Hungary who can use the actually existing Hungarian population and the divergent and discontent population of transcarpathia as an anchor.

[-] jackmaoist@hexbear.net 6 points 4 hours ago

Poland has never been sane when it comes to stupid land grabs

[-] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 32 points 12 hours ago

Poland prepares for war

Also called "getting your lightbulbs in order"

[-] GeneralSwitch2Boycott@hexbear.net 23 points 11 hours ago

Screen door production is gearing up in Poland.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 21 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

The airbase in Poland is probably target number 1 for Oreshnik in a hypothetical Russia-NATO war.

[-] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 34 points 13 hours ago

The EU MIC is trying to kick into gear. There has been a push across all media and politicians to cut social spending and increase war spending. Fearmongering constantly is a necessary part of that

[-] companero@hexbear.net 32 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 13 hours ago)

Kaliningrad oblast, a Russian exclave surrounded on all sides by NATO members including Poland, is in a very precarious position. It's why Europeans are always talking about Putler invading and annexing the Baltic states.

I don't think Russia will take military action unless forced to, by a blockade or whatever.

[-] whatdoiputhere12@hexbear.net 11 points 11 hours ago

don't they say this every year

i still struggle to think of a scenario where russia would expand into poland, obviously short of nato troops actually in the frontlines

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this post was submitted on 12 May 2025
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