Strip away their branding.

is running a government austerity program.

It's not about the specific geopolitics of Ukraine/Russia/China/Israel/anything... it's about the unsustainability of the economic system.

The capitalist countries aren't turning back from immiserating their people. They're all-in on a model of massive wealth inequality, where the few own the houses, land, and other wealth, and the common man is in debt and is squeezed for rent. U.S. consumer confidence is at a 12-year low because the common man cannot afford things.

If people can't afford things but you want them to buy things, there is one capitalist solution: put them into consumer debt like credit-card-debt. But that's also maxed out, it can't be pushed further.

It's heading toward crisis. Pursing an unsustainable path is synonymous with heading towards a catastrophe.

The correct solution to this crisis is a leftist movement. But the left is disorganised and disempowered by oppression&propaganda. There's no left in capitalist countries, not an effective one.

(Same logic applies to the environmental crisis as well as the economic one.)

The welfare state was established by Clement Attlee after WW2 – an example of how a catastophe/worldwar can be the shock required to get the ruling class to come to their senses and change the economic system.

Something's gotta give, simply put. People have been pushed to the brink and it can't go on like this.

That implies some sort of crisis/catastrophic failure of the system. That doesn't have to necessarily be a world war, but it fits the bill, plus all of the pieces are in place with geopolitical tensions and militarisation.

The capitalist rulers can try to take/destroy China and Russia to fight the collapse of their wealth (I'm agnostic on the specific alliances). Destroying fixed capital with bombs is one way of resetting the hoarding of wealth.

If ONE of you fuckers tells me to touch grass I'm gonna thump you

The left's main vulnerability is splitting and infighting. We are terrible at it. This is known.

To build revolutionary change, a revolutionary party is needed. It must do its work and carry on its work. In the military, they taught me that the number one priority is preserving your ability to fight. It's ok if you have setbacks, lose equipment or men or tactical position or advantage; but it's a catastrophe if you lose the capacity to fight.

Leftist infighting is what robs the movement of its ability to fight on. It kills the movements. (The Buddhists know this, and consider 'creating a schism in the sangha' the supreme sin. That's a tangent, but the Buddhists have maintained an ideological movement for 26 centuries so they're doing something right.)

We need to mock people who shame other leftists for impurity, who insult them for making mistakes. Liu Shaoqi said: "The attitude of some Party members towards these shortcomings and mistakes and towards those comrades who have incorrect ideas is one of “bitter hatred and gall”. They lightly sever all relations with comrades who have committed some mistake and whom they attempt to expel from the Party outright."

It is ok for comrades to make mistakes in action, and to have mistaken beliefs. That's the completely normal, inevitable part of having a movement. In fact, that's all a movement is: listening to people's beliefs, listening to their wrong beliefs, correcting them, unifying the thought of the party, unity makes strength. It is not ok to have incorrect ideas of “bitter hatred and gall”, and lightly sever all relations with comrades who have committed some mistake.

MAO MADE 30% MISTAKES, INCLUDING CAUSING THE BIGGEST FAMINE IN HUMAN HISTORY!!! If you can forgive that, you can forgive someone who made an off-colour tweet when they were a teenager.

People who try to cancel comrades for stuff they did/said in the distant past, or for non-core differences of opinion, are dong the imperialists work for them: dismantling the socialist movement.

PS: the aim is always to have a cohesive, united, strong movement with the correct views. Anything that serves the aim is good. Anything that wrecks the aim is bad.