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Kinetic sanctions seem to be working quite well.
This seems like big FUCKING news. Russia is a petro state. They're so hard up they're saying they can no longer export fuel?! Does this not cripple their influence in India and China, states that are purchasing their fuel?
Of all the news I've followed regarding this war, this is the most shocking. Am I overstating this? Something I don't understand?
Not oil, its the Oil that China and India mostly take AFAIK (and refine themselves) , only hitting the refineries for gaoilone, kersone etal products. So there will likely be MORE oil available to export as their refinery capacity is reduced.
Thanks! That makes more sense. But in any case, unrefined petroleum means less for the Russian war machine. Good enough for me.
The 3 day war is crazy man... It's like a dudebro getting out of his lifted pavement-princess pickup truck with the express intent to stomp on an anthill to prove how strong he is only to get swallowed whole into the earth and eaten alive.
Oh, is the Russian army on the verge of collapse again? I lost track after the fifth or sixth time
Whenever the money supply gets low they liquidate a Russian CEO and grab the assets. The whole point of giving all the money to just a few people means that when Putin needs some cash he knows exactly where to go to get it. 100% tax rate on the least popular oligarchs!
That would seem to create incredible economic and social instability, especially among the ruling class. It would also run contrary to what we know about the power relations in the Russian Federation. What makes you think it's the case?
i thought russia's economy was the size of italy's. and it's fighting against ukraine supplied by all of nato.
hmm.
I'm sorry, notaglobalsuperpower says what? Because until Russia invaded Ukraine, Russia had convinced most of the world, including itself, that it was a near-peer to the US like China. Most people in the west and elsewhere, myself and putin included, expected Russia to completely steamroll over Ukraine in a matter of days to weeks.
... But then we got to watch as they paradropped elite troops into the middle cities, forgot that tanks needed infantry support, experienced logistical failures a mile from the border, started depleting stockpiles that were supposedly much deeper, and began conscripting undesirables for a meatgrinder ...
Russia is big and has a lot of nukes, people, and equipment: but it's no soviet union. If the new narrative is that the third largest power on the planet is equal to Italy and that somehow makes you feel better: sure.
this wasnt my narrative, it was a thing everyone kept saying when the war started.
Russia indeed has a small economy if converted into dollars, but not if the internal price of goods and services is considered. This is because the conversion only works for economies that are well connected and comparable.
This is doubly true for military matters which are very illiquid, and even more so given the sanctions Russia is facing. The measure you are looking for is called purchasing power parity adjustment, or "GDP (PPP)" for short. It is hard to compile though.
No need for "hmm", just readily available knowledge in economics.
In addition, Ukraine is only supplied by NATO insofar the politics of its member states allow.
I guess you can do allot when you don't care about your own people and you have oligarc piggy banks to crack. Also when you have mercenary armies across the globe holding on to gold mines.
My guess is that before the war, russians were not suffering as much and oligarcs were getting richer.
I guess you can do allot when you don't care about your own people and you have oligarc piggy banks to crack
You say that but the west doesn't seem to be doing a lot, just throwing Ukrainians into a meatgrinder to NOT take back the land Russia has occupied, which is essentially all of the territory it actually even wants
depends on which russians. the ones in eastern ukraine were being ethnically cleansed. i guess that was bad.
Lol sure bud. But I guess the great cabal of almost every country on earth and ... Wikipedia editors ... Are suppressing the truth: Russia is the good guy and it was forced to do imperialism for the good of "ethnic Russians" (which is happily mulches into Ukraine's fields)
Hexbears are a living meme lol
almost every country on earth
i didnt say that was their only reason for invading, i guess
Fair
To be clear, this isn’t an end of oil exports, just refined fuels. The bottle neck in oil refining will probably result in more oil exports, which will still provide revenue. The key thing is that they’re getting pushed down the value chain, making less money on every barrel pumped. On top of that, they are being forced to sell the oil at a discount because the pool of countries willing to buy from them is restricted, and thus those countries can demand a lower price.
That foreign income is important because it is paying both for imports for the war effort, but also for imports of consumer goods. They have to scale back one or the other. One diminishes their capacity to fight, the other increases the internal unrest with the war.
If their refining capacity is reduced enough, they might actually have to start importing refined oil products, both for consumer/industrial needs, and for military needs. Decreasing their ability to import other goods.
Over all, it’s constricting their ability to mollify the relevant domestic populations AND maintain the war effort at the current level.
I think the provocative actions against NATO countries is them trying to create a situation that justifies them shifting more resources from the consumer goods side to the war effort side, ether by further mobilization of conscripts (less money on contract soldiers, thus less competition for imported goods) or by politically justifying drops in standard of living (less domestic consumption of imported consumer goods).
The mob run gas station is now rationing.
This isn't a ban on oil exports just refined fuels and it isn't abnormal. Russia limits exports of petrol to force lower prices at the pump during peak demand. They did this regularly before the war too.
s/bans/is unable to provide/
this post was submitted on 26 Sep 2025
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